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Queen's Gambit

Moves

White scores

54.1%

Wins more
Loses moreEvenWins more

52.0% won4.2% drawn43.8% lost

Theory 53.1% · Stockfish +0.3

Every level and clock · 112M games

8
7
6
5
4
3
2
a1
b
c
d
e
f
g
h
2.c4
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<100010001200140016001800200022002500+

Win rate by rating

White’s score holds about the same all the way up.

RatingScore against evenScoreWonGames
53.9%52.3%3.2M
54.9%53.4%7.5M
54.7%53.1%14M
54.3%52.6%20M
53.9%51.9%25M
53.7%51.4%22M
53.7%51.1%13M
54.0%50.9%6.6M
Widest edge55.0%47.2%1.3M

Every clock · Tap a row to set your level.

What does Black play next?

Black's most played reply is 2…⁠Nf6, the Marshall Defense.

Is the Queen's Gambit good?

Yes, for White, across every level and clock.

Everyone54.1
Stockfish53.1

Stockfish at depth 22 · +0.3 for White

Floor 54.1 is the worst score you would still get, 90% confident.

Among the families

8th of 66 families White can choose

Where it wins · rating × clock

<100010001200140016001800200022002500+Every levelUltraBulletBulletBlitzRapidClassical
Best 58.3% · 2000–2199 classicalWorst 51.7% · under 1000 ultrabullet

Faint, hatched: few games, never the best or worst. Tap a cell to set your level and clock.

Does the gambit hold up?

White scores above 50% at every rating measured.

Average game length

How do you score in your own openings?

Leaks reads your recent games and lists the openings you score worst in.

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More Queen's Gambit lines

Most played first; each line counts its own games.

All 177 Queen's Gambit lines, ranked

177 variations · ranked by floor

Floor — the worst score you would still get, 90% confident.

1
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit1.6K games
64.7%Floor 62.7%
2
Queen's Gambit Declined: Zilbermints Gambit8.1K games
62.2%Floor 61.3%
3
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Christensen Gambit9.8K games
60.8%Floor 60.0%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Rubinstein Defense, Yefimov Gambit17K games
59.3%Floor 58.6%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Gunsberg Defense, Prianishenmo Gambit8.3K games
58.9%Floor 58.0%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack84K games
58.1%Floor 57.8%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense36K games
58.3%Floor 57.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Modern Gambit766K games
57.7%Floor 57.6%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Slav Gambit168K games
57.7%Floor 57.5%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation2.0M games
57.3%Floor 57.3%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation1.1M games
57.3%Floor 57.2%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Exchange Variation, Costa's Line4.8K games
58.3%Floor 57.1%
Queen's Gambit1.7M games
57.1%Floor 57.0%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation5.6M games
56.9%Floor 56.9%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Two Knights Defense, Blockade Line21K games
57.2%Floor 56.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense, Pseudo-Tarrasch Bishop Attack12K games
57.1%Floor 56.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation973K games
56.4%Floor 56.3%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation1.0M games
56.2%Floor 56.2%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation168K games
55.9%Floor 55.7%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation75K games
55.8%Floor 55.5%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line72K games
55.8%Floor 55.4%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System1.1M games
55.4%Floor 55.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense3.2M games
55.3%Floor 55.2%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation32K games
55.6%Floor 55.1%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Modern Defense1.0M games
55.1%Floor 55.1%
Queen's Gambit Accepted8.2M games
55.1%Floor 55.1%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation170K games
55.3%Floor 55.1%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense4.2M games
55.1%Floor 55.0%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Rubinstein Defense188K games
55.1%Floor 55.0%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Main Line32K games
55.4%Floor 55.0%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred79K games
55.2%Floor 54.9%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation594K games
54.9%Floor 54.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation795K games
54.9%Floor 54.8%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation178K games
55.0%Floor 54.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense314K games
54.9%Floor 54.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense15M games
54.7%Floor 54.7%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Showalter Variation755K games
54.8%Floor 54.7%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation5.2M games
54.7%Floor 54.7%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Orthodox Defense, Bd3 Line70K games
54.9%Floor 54.6%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System576K games
54.7%Floor 54.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Orthodox Defense, Alekhine Variation531 games
58.0%Floor 54.5%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Manhattan Variation39K games
54.9%Floor 54.5%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense, Main Line11K games
55.3%Floor 54.5%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Sämisch Variation14K games
55.0%Floor 54.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line113K games
54.5%Floor 54.3%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Greco Variation1.1M games
54.2%Floor 54.1%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Miles Variation36K games
54.6%Floor 54.1%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Orthodox Defense, Janowski Variation235 games
59.3%Floor 54.1%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense4.0M games
54.1%Floor 54.0%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Anti-Tartakower Variation79K games
54.3%Floor 54.0%
Every Queen's Gambit variation, by name177
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Methodology

Across every level and clock, the Queen's Gambit family scores 54.1% for White, from 112M rated Lichess games across 177 variations, and the low and high ends of its range both round to that same figure at this precision. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played September 2023 to August 2026.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
112M rated games played on Lichess (2023-09 to 2026-08). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt September 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
What the Floor and Edge at worst are
The Floor is the worst score you would still get, 90% confident: the low end of a figure’s range, not its average. Edge at worst is how far wins run ahead of losses, 90% confident, so above zero, that side wins more than it loses even on a bad day. Each is stated for the rating and clock shown, over the games that reached the position. They are on different scales: a score sits at 50 when the sides are level, an edge at zero.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A figure on it needs 100 games at its rating and clock: short of that the answer reads a wider scope and says so, a table row shows only its count, and a map cell shows a dash. Under 1.0K games a figure is drawn faint, and never leads a list or counts as the best or worst place the line wins. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.