Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line
49K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds
44.3%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 44.7%.
Measured over 49K games at this level and clock.
Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 4.2 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 49K games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 49K
- Best context
- 46.9% at 1800-1999 Bullet
- Worst context
- 41.4% at 2000-2199 Rapid
- Average game length
- 33 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 95.8%
- Draws
- 4.2%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 43.1% at 0-999, 36.2% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (23 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 60.4% expected score (13 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (90 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 33.3% expected score (133 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 36.5% expected score (17 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 44.7% expected score (387 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 43.1% expected score (534 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (80 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.8% expected score (949 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.4% expected score (1,827 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.9% expected score (342 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 63.8% expected score (13 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.5% expected score (1,976 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (5,611 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 42.9% expected score (991 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (56 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (2,925 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (9,773 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 41.5% expected score (2,024 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 34.3% expected score (97 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (3,248 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (8,870 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 41.4% expected score (1,595 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 27.5% expected score (34 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (2,297 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (3,942 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (320 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 11.5% expected score (5 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 42.8% expected score (524 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 34.0% expected score (204 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line scores 44.3% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 43.9% and 44.7% — from 49K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 49K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line win rate?
Playing the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line, Black wins 42.2%, draws 4.2% and loses 53.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.3%. It rests on 49K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line perform best?
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line performs best for Black at 1800-1999, with an Expected Score of 44.6% (15K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 44.2% in Blitz (31K games) against 41.6% in Rapid (5.4K games).
How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line?
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, Black wins 37.1%, draws 3.9% and loses 59.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 39.1%. It rests on 240 Lichess games, which average 26 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, Black wins 43.0%, draws 2.1% and loses 54.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.1%. It rests on 1.0K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, Black wins 43.6%, draws 2.6% and loses 53.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.9%. It rests on 3.1K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, Black wins 41.9%, draws 3.4% and loses 54.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.6%. It rests on 8.6K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, Black wins 42.4%, draws 4.3% and loses 53.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.6%. It rests on 15K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, Black wins 42.2%, draws 4.8% and loses 53.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.6%. It rests on 14K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, Black wins 41.5%, draws 5.2% and loses 53.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.1%. It rests on 6.6K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, Black wins 38.1%, draws 4.2% and loses 57.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 40.2%. It rests on 732 Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, Black wins 44.4%, draws 2.9% and loses 52.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.9%. It rests on 12K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, Black wins 42.0%, draws 4.4% and loses 53.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.2%. It rests on 31K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, Black wins 38.5%, draws 6.0% and loses 55.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 41.6%. It rests on 5.4K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line win rate in Classical?
In Classical, Black wins 29.5%, draws 7.0% and loses 63.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 33.0%. It rests on 207 Lichess games.
Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line a good opening?
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 42.2% of its games and loses 53.6%. It performs best at 1800-1999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.