TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav

779K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score48.6%Range (90% confident): 48.5% – 48.7%Based on 779K games
0%48.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.5% – 48.7%
Outcome Distribution
46.4%4.3%49.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...c6
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav
Analyzen=779K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav has a 48.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.5% and 48.7%), based on 779K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 51% → 40%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.8% win rate (6,348 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.2% win rate (26,700 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.7% win rate (72,323 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.0% win rate (139,524 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.0% win rate (195,582 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.7% win rate (187,635 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.7% win rate (104,360 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.3% win rate (40,514 games)
  • 2500+: 39.7% win rate (5,693 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (47%), worst in UltraBullet (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 41.5% win rate (202 games)
  • Bullet: 47.2% win rate (296,914 games)
  • Blitz: 46.0% win rate (392,981 games)
  • Rapid: 45.6% win rate (86,222 games)
  • Classical: 43.5% win rate (2,360 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (2,867 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (2,877 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (595 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (11,844 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (12,037 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (2,788 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 52.1% expected score (22 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 40.2% expected score (29 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (28,306 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (35,698 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (8,163 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 45.8% expected score (127 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 39.9% expected score (53 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (48,141 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (73,316 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (17,576 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.1% expected score (438 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 41.9% expected score (48 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (64,863 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (104,623 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (25,172 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.2% expected score (876 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 40.4% expected score (40 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (67,622 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (97,561 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (21,738 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 44.9% expected score (674 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (45,344 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (50,159 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 44.8% expected score (8,664 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 41.9% expected score (178 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (23,009 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 43.8% expected score (15,966 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.1% expected score (1,502 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 43.0% expected score (34 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (4,918 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 39.8% expected score (744 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 42.2% expected score (24 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 38.3% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav has a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 779K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.3% win rate for white (5.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (56.3%) outperforms Classical (49.6%) by 6.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.1%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 6.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 72K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 140K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 196K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.3%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 188K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.4%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 104K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 41K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.2%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 5.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 8.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav has a 56.3% (90% CI: 50.5%-61.9%) win rate for white (202 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.6%-49.9%) win rate for white (297K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.1%) win rate for white (393K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.3%) win rate for white (86K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav has a 49.6% (90% CI: 47.9%-51.3%) win rate for white (2.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Slav is statistically balanced with a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.