Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation
116K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
55.3%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 55.6%.
Measured over 116K games at this level and clock.
A strong choice for White at this level and clock.
Outcomes for White
Draw 5.7 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 116K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 116K
- Best context
- 56.6% at 2200-2499 Rapid
- Worst context
- 53.5% at 1600-1799 Bullet
- Average game length
- 38 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 94.3%
- Draws
- 5.7%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 49.0% at 0-999, 54.3% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | ||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 40.4% expected score (14 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (60 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (34 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 38.3% expected score (7 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (204 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (180 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (23 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (485 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (636 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.5% expected score (130 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (1,624 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (3,168 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.1% expected score (455 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.0% expected score (47 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (4,826 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (11,303 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (1,692 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.8% expected score (131 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (9,069 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (27,363 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (3,254 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.1% expected score (158 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (16,140 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (23,007 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (2,476 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (61 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (6,768 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.3% expected score (2,179 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (127 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 53.3% expected score (14 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation scores 55.3% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 55.1% and 55.6% — from 116K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 116K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation win rate?
Playing the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation, White wins 52.5%, draws 5.7% and loses 41.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.3%. It rests on 116K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation perform best?
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation performs best for White at 2200-2499, with an Expected Score of 55.7% (42K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 55.6% in Blitz (68K games) against 55.7% in Rapid (8.2K games).
How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation?
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation has a sharpness score of 94.3 (decisive), meaning 94.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, White wins 51.7%, draws 3.3% and loses 45.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.4%. It rests on 104 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 49.6%, draws 2.8% and loses 47.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.0%. It rests on 409 Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 50.8%, draws 3.3% and loses 45.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.5%. It rests on 1.3K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 51.6%, draws 4.4% and loses 44.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.8%. It rests on 5.3K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 53.1%, draws 4.7% and loses 42.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.5%. It rests on 18K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 52.5%, draws 5.6% and loses 42.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.3%. It rests on 40K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 52.7%, draws 5.9% and loses 41.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.7%. It rests on 42K Lichess games, which average 40 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, White wins 51.3%, draws 8.0% and loses 40.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.3%. It rests on 9.1K Lichess games, which average 43 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 52.8%, draws 3.9% and loses 43.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.8%. It rests on 39K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 52.4%, draws 6.4% and loses 41.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.6%. It rests on 68K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 51.6%, draws 8.2% and loses 40.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.7%. It rests on 8.2K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation win rate in Classical?
In Classical, White wins 47.6%, draws 12.0% and loses 40.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.6%. It rests on 428 Lichess games.
Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation a good opening?
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 52.5% of its games and loses 41.9%. It performs best at 2200-2499. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.