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Queen's Gambit Declined: Zilbermints Gambit

5.3K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

37.4%

30%55%
Floor36.4%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 38.5%.

Measured over 5.3K games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 3.1 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 5.3K games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
5.3K
Best context
48.5% at 2000-2199 Bullet
Average game length
30 moves
Games that end decisively
96.9%
Draws
3.1%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: −11.8% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 37.7% at 0-999, 21.0% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 32.4% expected score (220 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 32.7% expected score (244 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 31.0% expected score (127 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 45.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 33.7% expected score (191 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 32.3% expected score (273 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 33.9% expected score (135 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 38.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 8.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 28.1% expected score (208 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 37.6% expected score (293 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 33.4% expected score (194 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 35.2% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 22.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 37.2% expected score (275 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 41.4% expected score (398 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 28.0% expected score (209 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 15.1% expected score (20 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 31.1% expected score (295 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (482 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 39.1% expected score (113 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (16 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 43.1% expected score (171 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 38.5% expected score (412 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 36.8% expected score (70 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (558 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 43.4% expected score (127 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 39.4% expected score (22 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 41.8% expected score (108 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 36.7% expected score (77 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 21.0% expected score (14 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Zilbermints Gambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Zilbermints Gambit scores 37.4% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 36.4% and 38.5% — from 5.3K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
5.3K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Zilbermints Gambit win rate?

Playing the Queen's Gambit Declined: Zilbermints Gambit, Black wins 35.9%, draws 3.1% and loses 61.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 37.4%. It rests on 5.3K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Zilbermints Gambit perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Zilbermints Gambit performs best for Black at 2000-2199, with an Expected Score of 47.2% (709 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Zilbermints Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Zilbermints Gambit scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 39.1% in Blitz (2.3K games) against 32.7% in Rapid (874 games).

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Zilbermints Gambit?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Zilbermints Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.9 (very decisive), meaning 96.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Zilbermints Gambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, Black wins 30.1%, draws 4.3% and loses 65.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 32.3%. It rests on 598 Lichess games, which average 24 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Zilbermints Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 31.9%, draws 2.7% and loses 65.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 33.3%. It rests on 620 Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Zilbermints Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 31.4%, draws 3.6% and loses 65.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 33.2%. It rests on 714 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Zilbermints Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 34.6%, draws 2.9% and loses 62.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 36.1%. It rests on 913 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Zilbermints Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 38.1%, draws 2.7% and loses 59.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 39.4%. It rests on 914 Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Zilbermints Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 37.9%, draws 3.3% and loses 58.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 39.5%. It rests on 655 Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Zilbermints Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 45.7%, draws 2.9% and loses 51.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.2%. It rests on 709 Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Zilbermints Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 37.0%, draws 3.4% and loses 59.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 38.7%. It rests on 189 Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Zilbermints Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 37.2%, draws 2.0% and loses 60.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 38.2%. It rests on 2.0K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Zilbermints Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 37.2%, draws 3.8% and loses 59.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 39.1%. It rests on 2.3K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Zilbermints Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 30.7%, draws 3.9% and loses 65.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 32.7%. It rests on 874 Lichess games.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Zilbermints Gambit a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Zilbermints Gambit is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 35.9% of its games and loses 61.1%. It performs best at 2000-2199. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.