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Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation

28K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.4%Range (90% confident): 48.9% – 49.9%Based on 28K games
0%49.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.9% – 49.9%
Outcome Distribution
45.8%7.2%47.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...cxd4
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation
Analyzen=28K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate7.2%

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation has a 49.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.9% and 49.9%), based on 28K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 45% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.8% win rate (158 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.2% win rate (481 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.8% win rate (1,162 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.3% win rate (2,431 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.1% win rate (4,528 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.2% win rate (5,789 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.1% win rate (5,571 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.6% win rate (5,504 games)
  • 2500+: 41.5% win rate (2,079 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (59%), worst in Classical (33%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 58.6% win rate (13 games)
  • Bullet: 47.5% win rate (10,629 games)
  • Blitz: 44.9% win rate (14,292 games)
  • Rapid: 44.1% win rate (2,613 games)
  • Classical: 33.3% win rate (156 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (77 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (60 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 41.1% expected score (21 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (195 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.1% expected score (221 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (65 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (452 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (577 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.8% expected score (127 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (893 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (1,191 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (321 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 43.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (1,617 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (2,344 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (542 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.4% expected score (21 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (2,029 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (3,003 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (692 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.2% expected score (64 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (2,022 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (2,962 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (556 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 32.6% expected score (30 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (2,168 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (3,084 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (238 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 29.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (1,176 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (850 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (51 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Accepted
53.1%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation
54.9%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation
55.4%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Greco Variation
52.2%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation
55.4%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System
53.6%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 28K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 52.7% win rate for white (481 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.5%) outperforms Classical (50.5%) by -3.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation has a sharpness score of 92.8 (decisive), meaning 92.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 43.3%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 158 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 49.0%-56.5%) win rate for white, based on 481 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 45.2%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 46.7%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.0%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 45.5%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 5.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.4%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation has a 44.9% (90% CI: 43.8%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 9.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 46.5%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 10.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.7%-48.2%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 45.9%-47.3%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.5%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 45.4%-48.6%) win rate for white (2.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.9%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 43.9%-57.0%) win rate for white (156 Lichess games). Draw rate is 16.2%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Steinitz Variation, Exchange Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.