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Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation

1.3M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

57.3%

45%65%
Floor57.3%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. Its best is the same figure — the band is too tight to plot.

Measured over 1.3M games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 3.7 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 1.3M games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
1.3M
Best context
67.8% at 2200-2499 Rapid
Worst context
54.4% at 2500+ Bullet
Average game length
32 moves
Games that end decisively
96.3%
Draws
3.7%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +15.8% · Breakpoint: Never

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 59.4% at 0-999, 54.9% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.3% expected score (34 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 56.9% expected score (21,736 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (50,160 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 58.8% expected score (19,468 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 63.2% expected score (127 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 81.2% expected score (45 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.5% expected score (38,884 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (106,255 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (43,212 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 62.8% expected score (624 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 57.0% expected score (56 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 57.1% expected score (48,783 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.5% expected score (161,120 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 59.0% expected score (68,127 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 61.0% expected score (2,291 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 54.1% expected score (83 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (48,463 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (187,015 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 57.9% expected score (84,131 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 62.6% expected score (3,522 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 42.7% expected score (53 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (36,216 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (155,991 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (72,829 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 60.2% expected score (3,316 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (22 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (23,945 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (74,092 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 58.6% expected score (36,022 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 65.2% expected score (1,184 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 63.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (11,237 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.7% expected score (15,973 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.7% expected score (6,242 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 76.6% expected score (136 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (3,952 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 60.9% expected score (2,776 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 67.8% expected score (534 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (727 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (122 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Accepted
53.1%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation
54.9%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Greco Variation
52.2%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation
55.4%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System
53.6%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation
54.2%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation scores 57.3% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 57.3% and 57.4% — from 1.3M Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
1.3M+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate?

Playing the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation, White wins 55.4%, draws 3.7% and loses 40.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.3%. It rests on 1.3M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation performs best for White at 1000-1199, with an Expected Score of 58.1% (189K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 57.1% in Blitz (754K games) against 58.4% in Rapid (331K games).

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 55.4%, draws 3.5% and loses 41.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.2%. It rests on 92K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 56.4%, draws 3.4% and loses 40.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.1%. It rests on 189K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 56.2%, draws 3.3% and loses 40.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.9%. It rests on 280K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 55.1%, draws 3.5% and loses 41.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.9%. It rests on 323K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 54.6%, draws 4.0% and loses 41.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.7%. It rests on 268K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 55.1%, draws 4.4% and loses 40.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.3%. It rests on 135K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 55.7%, draws 4.8% and loses 39.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.1%. It rests on 34K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 55.2%, draws 5.4% and loses 39.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.9%. It rests on 7.3K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 51.2%, draws 6.6% and loses 42.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.5%. It rests on 857 Lichess games, which average 40 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, White wins 57.7%, draws 1.5% and loses 40.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.4%. It rests on 308 Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 55.3%, draws 2.2% and loses 42.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.4%. It rests on 234K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 55.1%, draws 3.9% and loses 41.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.1%. It rests on 754K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 56.2%, draws 4.3% and loses 39.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.4%. It rests on 331K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 59.8%, draws 4.4% and loses 35.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 62.0%. It rests on 11K Lichess games.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 55.4% of its games and loses 40.9%. It performs best at 1000-1199. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.