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Queen's Gambit Accepted

5.1M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

45.1%

40%55%
Floor45.0%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. Its best is the same figure — the band is too tight to plot.

Measured over 5.1M games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 3.7 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 5.1M games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
5.1M
Best context
49.6% at 2200-2499 Blitz
Worst context
36.8% at 1400-1599 UltraBullet
Average game length
33 moves
Games that end decisively
96.3%
Draws
3.7%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

How to Beat This (Move 3)

Best: 3...f5?! · Black wins: 54.8% · 4.3M games

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 44.8% at 0-999, 37.7% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 35.0% expected score (178 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.9% expected score (58,274 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (95,982 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (29,506 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.3% expected score (167 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 34.6% expected score (375 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.7% expected score (142,154 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.1% expected score (235,662 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 43.9% expected score (66,028 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 42.3% expected score (928 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 37.4% expected score (783 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (228,754 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.0% expected score (416,793 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 43.7% expected score (116,302 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 42.9% expected score (3,340 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 36.8% expected score (1,632 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 44.3% expected score (296,473 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (599,585 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.8% expected score (170,187 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 41.4% expected score (6,492 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 43.4% expected score (1,309 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (327,126 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (655,232 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.0% expected score (172,179 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.6% expected score (6,531 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 43.8% expected score (608 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (291,104 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (489,297 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.0% expected score (119,781 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 40.5% expected score (3,118 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 51.0% expected score (319 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (182,097 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (174,087 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.5% expected score (33,120 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.4% expected score (446 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 49.1% expected score (108 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (87,955 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (41,600 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (4,199 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 59.6% expected score (61 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (18,003 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (3,085 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 45.1% expected score (160 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 18.5% expected score (27 games)

Related Openings

Continuations (10)
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation
54.9%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation
55.4%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Greco Variation
52.2%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation
55.4%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System
53.6%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Rosenthal Variation
54.2%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Modern Defense
53.2%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, McDonnell Defense
51.1%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Showalter Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation, Traditional System
52.6%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Accepted PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Gambit Accepted scores 45.1% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 45.0% and 45.1% — from 5.1M Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
5.1M+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted win rate?

Playing the Queen's Gambit Accepted, Black wins 43.2%, draws 3.7% and loses 53.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.1%. It rests on 5.1M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted performs best for Black at 2200-2499, with an Expected Score of 49.1% (134K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the Queen's Gambit Accepted scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 45.1% in Blitz (2.7M games) against 44.1% in Rapid (711K games).

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, Black wins 44.3%, draws 3.1% and loses 52.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.9%. It rests on 184K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 42.4%, draws 3.0% and loses 54.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.9%. It rests on 445K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 42.3%, draws 3.1% and loses 54.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.9%. It rests on 766K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 42.5%, draws 3.3% and loses 54.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.2%. It rests on 1.1M Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 42.9%, draws 3.8% and loses 53.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.8%. It rests on 1.2M Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 43.8%, draws 4.2% and loses 52.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.9%. It rests on 904K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 45.2%, draws 4.7% and loses 50.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.6%. It rests on 390K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 46.3%, draws 5.5% and loses 48.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.1%. It rests on 134K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, Black wins 43.4%, draws 7.6% and loses 49.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.2%. It rests on 21K Lichess games, which average 41 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, Black wins 39.4%, draws 1.5% and loses 59.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 40.1%. It rests on 5.3K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 44.1%, draws 2.7% and loses 53.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.5%. It rests on 1.6M Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 43.0%, draws 4.1% and loses 52.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.1%. It rests on 2.7M Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 41.8%, draws 4.6% and loses 53.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.1%. It rests on 711K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted win rate in Classical?

In Classical, Black wins 39.5%, draws 5.0% and loses 55.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.1%. It rests on 21K Lichess games.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 43.2% of its games and loses 53.1%. It performs best at 2200-2499. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.