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Analyzer

Queen's Gambit Declined: Uhlmann Variation

248 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.4%Range (90% confident): 41.3% – 51.6%Based on 248 games
0%46.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 41.3% – 51.6%
Outcome Distribution
43.5%5.8%50.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...dxc4
Queen's Gambit Declined: Uhlmann Variation
Analyzen=248
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.8%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Uhlmann Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Uhlmann Variation has a 46.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 41.3% and 51.6%), based on 248 Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 33% → 26%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 33.3% win rate (3 games)
  • 1200-1399: 33.3% win rate (6 games)
  • 1400-1599: 39.1% win rate (10 games)
  • 1600-1799: 32.5% win rate (40 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.5% win rate (54 games)
  • 2000-2199: 41.1% win rate (63 games)
  • 2200-2499: 57.0% win rate (52 games)
  • 2500+: 25.6% win rate (20 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (46%), worst in Bullet (40%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 40.1% win rate (102 games)
  • Blitz: 46.2% win rate (125 games)
  • Rapid: 41.5% win rate (19 games)
  • Classical: 42.9% win rate (2 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599———
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 39.2% expected score (17 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 33.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 27.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 65.9% expected score (30 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 41.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (32 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 65.1% expected score (25 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (25 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 38.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 35.7% expected score (9 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Uhlmann Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Uhlmann Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Uhlmann Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 45.5%-55.9%) win rate for white, based on 248 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Uhlmann Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Uhlmann Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 53.5% win rate for white (63 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Uhlmann Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (54.6%) outperforms Blitz (47.8%) by 6.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Uhlmann Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Uhlmann Variation has a sharpness score of 94.2 (decisive), meaning 94.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Uhlmann Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Uhlmann Variation has a 54.6% (90% CI: 46.5%-62.6%) win rate for white (102 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Uhlmann Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Uhlmann Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 40.6%-55.1%) win rate for white (125 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Uhlmann Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Uhlmann Variation is statistically balanced with a 50.7% (90% CI: 45.5%-55.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.