Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation
22K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds
44.4%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 45.0%.
Measured over 22K games at this level and clock.
Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 5.2 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 22K games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 22K
- Best context
- 47.1% at 2000-2199 Bullet
- Worst context
- 41.0% at 1600-1799 Rapid
- Average game length
- 34 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 94.8%
- Draws
- 5.2%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 47.8% at 0-999, 44.2% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (212 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (268 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (44 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 42.5% expected score (587 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (876 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (155 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (1,097 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (1,676 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 44.0% expected score (388 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.7% expected score (14 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 44.1% expected score (1,242 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 43.1% expected score (2,123 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.1% expected score (621 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 39.5% expected score (27 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.8% expected score (1,170 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (1,822 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 41.0% expected score (567 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.0% expected score (34 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 43.0% expected score (1,062 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 43.3% expected score (1,434 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (488 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (11 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (706 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.6% expected score (1,420 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 35.4% expected score (245 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.8% expected score (7 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (1,030 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.1% expected score (1,604 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 40.7% expected score (133 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (411 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 38.6% expected score (310 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (26 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation scores 44.4% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 43.9% and 45.0% — from 22K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 22K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation win rate?
Playing the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation, Black wins 41.8%, draws 5.2% and loses 53.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.4%. It rests on 22K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation perform best?
The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation performs best for Black at 1200-1399, with an Expected Score of 45.5% (3.2K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 44.6% in Blitz (12K games) against 42.9% in Rapid (2.7K games).
How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation?
The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation has a sharpness score of 94.8 (decisive), meaning 94.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, Black wins 46.5%, draws 2.0% and loses 51.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.5%. It rests on 524 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, Black wins 44.1%, draws 2.8% and loses 53.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.5%. It rests on 1.6K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, Black wins 43.8%, draws 3.4% and loses 52.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.5%. It rests on 3.2K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, Black wins 41.4%, draws 3.8% and loses 54.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.3%. It rests on 4.0K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, Black wins 42.4%, draws 4.2% and loses 53.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.5%. It rests on 3.6K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, Black wins 41.0%, draws 4.8% and loses 54.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.4%. It rests on 3.0K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, Black wins 40.8%, draws 7.2% and loses 52.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.4%. It rests on 2.4K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, Black wins 40.4%, draws 9.9% and loses 49.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.4%. It rests on 2.8K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, Black wins 36.8%, draws 10.1% and loses 53.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 41.9%. It rests on 747 Lichess games, which average 41 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, Black wins 43.1%, draws 3.6% and loses 53.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.9%. It rests on 7.5K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, Black wins 41.5%, draws 6.1% and loses 52.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.6%. It rests on 12K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, Black wins 40.0%, draws 5.7% and loses 54.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.9%. It rests on 2.7K Lichess games.
Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation a good opening?
The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 41.8% of its games and loses 53.0%. It performs best at 1200-1399. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.