Queen's Gambit Accepted: Godes Variation
14K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds
46.7%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 47.4%.
Measured over 14K games at this level and clock.
Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 3.9 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 14K games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 14K
- Best context
- 50.3% at 1800-1999 Rapid
- Worst context
- 41.7% at 2200-2499 Blitz
- Average game length
- 35 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 96.1%
- Draws
- 3.9%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 33.2% at 0-999, 47.7% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 29.3% expected score (42 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 42.8% expected score (88 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.6% expected score (32 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (147 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (175 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 40.5% expected score (67 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (354 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (463 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (150 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (680 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (1,015 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (276 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 41.1% expected score (21 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (922 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (1,783 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (510 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.5% expected score (27 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (979 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (2,143 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (538 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.0% expected score (23 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.0% expected score (793 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.3% expected score (1,437 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 37.7% expected score (169 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (538 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 41.7% expected score (787 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 61.3% expected score (34 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (192 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.5% expected score (53 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Godes Variation scores 46.7% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 46.0% and 47.4% — from 14K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 14K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Godes Variation win rate?
Playing the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Godes Variation, Black wins 44.7%, draws 3.9% and loses 51.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.7%. It rests on 14K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Godes Variation perform best?
The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Godes Variation performs best for Black at 1600-1799, with an Expected Score of 48.2% (3.2K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Godes Variation better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Godes Variation scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 46.5% in Blitz (7.9K games) against 47.3% in Rapid (1.8K games).
How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Godes Variation?
The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Godes Variation has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Godes Variation win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, Black wins 35.6%, draws 1.5% and loses 62.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 36.4%. It rests on 163 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Godes Variation win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, Black wins 45.1%, draws 1.4% and loses 53.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.8%. It rests on 392 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Godes Variation win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, Black wins 46.8%, draws 2.4% and loses 50.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.1%. It rests on 971 Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Godes Variation win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, Black wins 45.7%, draws 3.4% and loses 50.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.4%. It rests on 2.0K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Godes Variation win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, Black wins 46.3%, draws 3.7% and loses 50.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.2%. It rests on 3.2K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Godes Variation win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, Black wins 45.9%, draws 3.9% and loses 50.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.9%. It rests on 3.7K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Godes Variation win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, Black wins 41.8%, draws 4.3% and loses 53.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.0%. It rests on 2.4K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Godes Variation win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, Black wins 41.1%, draws 6.1% and loses 52.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.2%. It rests on 1.4K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Godes Variation win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, Black wins 43.7%, draws 8.2% and loses 48.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.8%. It rests on 247 Lichess games, which average 40 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Godes Variation win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, Black wins 45.8%, draws 2.4% and loses 51.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.0%. It rests on 4.6K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Godes Variation win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, Black wins 44.1%, draws 4.7% and loses 51.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.5%. It rests on 7.9K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Godes Variation win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, Black wins 45.0%, draws 4.4% and loses 50.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.3%. It rests on 1.8K Lichess games.
Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Godes Variation a good opening?
The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Godes Variation is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 44.7% of its games and loses 51.4%. It performs best at 1600-1799. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.