Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Attack, Salvio Countergambit
127K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds
51.4%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 51.7%.
Measured over 127K games at this level and clock.
Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 3.6 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 127K games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 127K
- Best context
- 60.3% at 0-999 Bullet
- Worst context
- 47.7% at 2000-2199 Rapid
- Average game length
- 33 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 96.4%
- Draws
- 3.6%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 57.4% at 0-999, 41.9% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 60.3% expected score (758 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (927 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 45.5% expected score (312 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (1,581 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (2,514 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (875 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 67.3% expected score (13 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (3,545 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (6,267 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (1,939 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 57.1% expected score (55 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 63.6% expected score (17 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (5,628 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (12,798 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (3,726 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.4% expected score (135 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 53.0% expected score (15 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (8,052 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (18,955 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (5,896 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.0% expected score (270 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 33.8% expected score (17 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (7,599 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (18,661 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (5,671 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (230 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (4,714 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (7,899 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (1,825 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 37.7% expected score (35 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (2,546 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (2,369 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.1% expected score (260 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (367 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (233 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Attack, Salvio Countergambit scores 51.4% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 51.2% and 51.7% — from 127K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 127K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Attack, Salvio Countergambit win rate?
Playing the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Attack, Salvio Countergambit, Black wins 49.6%, draws 3.6% and loses 46.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.4%. It rests on 127K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Attack, Salvio Countergambit perform best?
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Attack, Salvio Countergambit performs best for Black at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 54.9% (2.0K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Attack, Salvio Countergambit better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Attack, Salvio Countergambit scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 51.2% in Blitz (71K games) against 50.1% in Rapid (21K games).
How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Attack, Salvio Countergambit?
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Attack, Salvio Countergambit has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Attack, Salvio Countergambit win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, Black wins 53.4%, draws 3.0% and loses 43.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.9%. It rests on 2.0K Lichess games, which average 25 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Attack, Salvio Countergambit win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, Black wins 51.4%, draws 2.6% and loses 46.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.7%. It rests on 5.0K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Attack, Salvio Countergambit win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, Black wins 50.3%, draws 2.7% and loses 47.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.7%. It rests on 12K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Attack, Salvio Countergambit win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, Black wins 50.9%, draws 3.1% and loses 46.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.5%. It rests on 22K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Attack, Salvio Countergambit win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, Black wins 49.8%, draws 3.3% and loses 46.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.5%. It rests on 33K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Attack, Salvio Countergambit win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, Black wins 49.3%, draws 3.8% and loses 46.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.2%. It rests on 32K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Attack, Salvio Countergambit win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, Black wins 47.6%, draws 4.5% and loses 47.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.9%. It rests on 14K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Attack, Salvio Countergambit win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, Black wins 46.4%, draws 6.0% and loses 47.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.4%. It rests on 5.2K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Attack, Salvio Countergambit win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, Black wins 46.7%, draws 7.8% and loses 45.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.6%. It rests on 606 Lichess games, which average 40 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Attack, Salvio Countergambit win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, Black wins 51.5%, draws 2.5% and loses 46.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.7%. It rests on 35K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Attack, Salvio Countergambit win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, Black wins 49.2%, draws 3.9% and loses 46.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.2%. It rests on 71K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Attack, Salvio Countergambit win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, Black wins 48.0%, draws 4.2% and loses 47.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.1%. It rests on 21K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Attack, Salvio Countergambit win rate in Classical?
In Classical, Black wins 46.7%, draws 5.1% and loses 48.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.2%. It rests on 741 Lichess games.
Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Attack, Salvio Countergambit a good opening?
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Attack, Salvio Countergambit is about level. Across all ratings, Black wins 49.6% of its games and loses 46.8%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.