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Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation

118K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score44.9%Range (90% confident): 44.7% – 45.2%Based on 118K games
0%44.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 44.7% – 45.2%
Outcome Distribution
42.6%4.6%52.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Bg4
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation
Analyzen=118K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.6%

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation has a 44.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 44.7% and 45.2%), based on 118K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.3% · Classical best · Blitz worst

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~45%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.5% win rate (2,741 games)
  • 1000-1199: 42.4% win rate (6,720 games)
  • 1200-1399: 40.7% win rate (12,365 games)
  • 1400-1599: 42.4% win rate (19,605 games)
  • 1600-1799: 42.9% win rate (23,400 games)
  • 1800-1999: 42.4% win rate (21,472 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.2% win rate (14,394 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.7% win rate (12,865 games)
  • 2500+: 42.8% win rate (4,495 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (44%), worst in Classical (33%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 40.3% win rate (171 games)
  • Bullet: 43.5% win rate (39,848 games)
  • Blitz: 42.7% win rate (63,669 games)
  • Rapid: 40.1% win rate (13,784 games)
  • Classical: 32.7% win rate (585 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (730 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (1,476 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 45.9% expected score (532 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.8% expected score (1,956 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (3,560 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 42.5% expected score (1,181 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 31.1% expected score (17 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 53.9% expected score (24 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 42.8% expected score (3,879 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.8% expected score (6,366 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 40.5% expected score (2,029 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 33.9% expected score (67 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 40.4% expected score (40 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 44.7% expected score (6,142 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (10,279 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.8% expected score (2,977 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 37.6% expected score (167 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 35.9% expected score (69 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (7,872 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (12,301 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 43.3% expected score (2,993 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 34.4% expected score (165 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 35.7% expected score (23 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (8,061 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 44.0% expected score (10,864 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 43.4% expected score (2,415 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (109 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 44.9% expected score (5,584 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (7,685 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 41.6% expected score (1,074 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 46.8% expected score (45 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (3,558 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (8,768 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.3% expected score (524 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 31.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (2,066 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (2,370 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 36.0% expected score (59 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Accepted
53.1%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation
54.9%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation
55.4%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Greco Variation
52.2%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation
55.4%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System
53.6%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.6%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 118K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 55.9% win rate for white (12K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (62.3%) outperforms Blitz (52.0%) by 10.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation has a sharpness score of 95.4 (very decisive), meaning 95.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 50.5%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation has a 54.3% (90% CI: 53.3%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 6.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation has a 55.9% (90% CI: 55.2%-56.7%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation has a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.4%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.7%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.6%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation has a 52.4% (90% CI: 51.7%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.3%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 8.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation has a 58.8% (90% CI: 52.6%-64.9%) win rate for white (171 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.9%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.9%-53.7%) win rate for white (40K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.3%) win rate for white (64K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation has a 54.6% (90% CI: 53.9%-55.3%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation has a 62.3% (90% CI: 59.0%-65.6%) win rate for white (585 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Janowski-Larsen Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.6%-53.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.