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Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation

945K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score44.5%Range (90% confident): 44.4% – 44.6%Based on 945K games
0%44.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 44.4% – 44.6%
Outcome Distribution
42.6%3.8%53.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...dxc4
Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation
Analyzen=945K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 44.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 44.4% and 44.6%), based on 945K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 43% → 39%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 43.0% win rate (9,480 games)
  • 1000-1199: 41.3% win rate (32,481 games)
  • 1200-1399: 41.3% win rate (71,258 games)
  • 1400-1599: 41.8% win rate (129,905 games)
  • 1600-1799: 42.6% win rate (204,323 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.1% win rate (227,853 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.1% win rate (153,123 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.6% win rate (93,901 games)
  • 2500+: 39.3% win rate (23,025 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (43%), worst in Classical (35%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 40.9% win rate (3,858 games)
  • Bullet: 43.0% win rate (587,471 games)
  • Blitz: 42.1% win rate (303,214 games)
  • Rapid: 41.2% win rate (48,813 games)
  • Classical: 35.2% win rate (1,993 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.2% expected score (3,777 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (4,483 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 45.1% expected score (1,206 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 58.6% expected score (80 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 41.7% expected score (15,747 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 43.0% expected score (12,866 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (3,758 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 31.0% expected score (30 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 48.3% expected score (294 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 42.5% expected score (37,692 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.7% expected score (26,376 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 42.1% expected score (6,707 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 43.0% expected score (189 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 40.4% expected score (1,041 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 43.2% expected score (69,711 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 43.4% expected score (48,660 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.4% expected score (10,050 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 34.3% expected score (443 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 39.9% expected score (1,362 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (119,683 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.5% expected score (71,584 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.3% expected score (11,092 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 41.5% expected score (602 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.8% expected score (732 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (144,054 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (73,014 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.8% expected score (9,702 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.3% expected score (351 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 37.9% expected score (292 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.5% expected score (108,006 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (40,326 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 43.2% expected score (4,396 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 42.9% expected score (103 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 33.6% expected score (47 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (70,393 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (21,846 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (1,545 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 56.3% expected score (70 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.5% expected score (18,408 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.1% expected score (4,059 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 41.7% expected score (357 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 31.0% expected score (201 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.5%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 945K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 56.3% win rate for white (71K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (57.0%) outperforms Classical (54.0%) by 3.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 53.9%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 9.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 56.2% (90% CI: 55.8%-56.7%) win rate for white, based on 32K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 56.3% (90% CI: 56.0%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 71K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 55.4% (90% CI: 55.2%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 130K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.9%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 204K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 228K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 153K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 94K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 9.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 57.0% (90% CI: 55.7%-58.3%) win rate for white (3.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 53.7%-53.9%) win rate for white (587K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.9%-53.2%) win rate for white (303K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.2%-54.0%) win rate for white (49K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 54.0% (90% CI: 52.2%-55.9%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.8%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation is statistically favors white with a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.5%-53.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.