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Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation

405K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

55.0%

45%60%
Floor54.9%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 55.2%.

Measured over 405K games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 4.1 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 405K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
405K
Best context
59.9% at 1400-1599 Rapid
Worst context
50.7% at 2200-2499 Blitz
Average game length
35 moves
Games that end decisively
95.9%
Draws
4.1%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +13.0% · Breakpoint: Never

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It holds about the same all the way up, near 56.3%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 64.8% expected score (46 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 57.5% expected score (1,698 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (2,164 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (552 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.8% expected score (76 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (6,495 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (6,283 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (1,655 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 75.8% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 49.0% expected score (284 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.9% expected score (17,090 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (11,921 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.1% expected score (2,735 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 56.4% expected score (77 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 52.3% expected score (916 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (31,016 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (19,830 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 59.9% expected score (3,923 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (190 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 54.8% expected score (1,371 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (52,747 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (25,681 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (4,222 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.2% expected score (274 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 59.3% expected score (637 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (61,735 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (25,450 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 57.1% expected score (3,807 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 61.8% expected score (159 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 53.0% expected score (218 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (50,352 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (16,125 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (1,948 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.3% expected score (87 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 52.9% expected score (51 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (30,627 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (11,968 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (1,063 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 39.9% expected score (28 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (7,093 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (2,381 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (114 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (19 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation scores 55.0% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 54.9% and 55.2% — from 405K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
405K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate?

Playing the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation, White wins 53.0%, draws 4.1% and loses 43.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.0%. It rests on 405K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation performs best for White at 1200-1399, with an Expected Score of 57.0% (32K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 54.9% in Blitz (122K games) against 57.2% in Rapid (20K games).

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 54.8%, draws 2.7% and loses 42.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.2%. It rests on 4.5K Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 55.4%, draws 2.6% and loses 42.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.7%. It rests on 15K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 55.8%, draws 2.4% and loses 41.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.0%. It rests on 32K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 55.0%, draws 2.9% and loses 42.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.5%. It rests on 56K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 54.1%, draws 3.3% and loses 42.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.8%. It rests on 84K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 52.6%, draws 4.0% and loses 43.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.6%. It rests on 92K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 51.6%, draws 4.8% and loses 43.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.0%. It rests on 69K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 49.1%, draws 6.5% and loses 44.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.4%. It rests on 44K Lichess games, which average 40 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 49.2%, draws 9.3% and loses 41.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.9%. It rests on 9.6K Lichess games, which average 43 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, White wins 53.8%, draws 1.5% and loses 44.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.6%. It rests on 3.6K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 53.2%, draws 3.4% and loses 43.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.9%. It rests on 259K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 52.2%, draws 5.4% and loses 42.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.9%. It rests on 122K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 54.4%, draws 5.5% and loses 40.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.2%. It rests on 20K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 53.5%, draws 9.0% and loses 37.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.0%. It rests on 850 Lichess games.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 53.0% of its games and loses 43.0%. It performs best at 1200-1399. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.