Skip to content
TrueEloPlay what wins.
Score a position

Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation

3.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
h8
g
f
e
d
c
b
a
5...f6
Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

47.5%

40%55%
Floor46.1%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 48.9%.

Measured over 3.5K games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 3.9 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 3.5K games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
3.5K
Best context
not measured yet
Average game length
32 moves
Games that end decisively
96.1%
Draws
3.9%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: −4.9% · Breakpoint: 1000-1199

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 37.5% at 0-999, 33.0% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.7% expected score (38 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (31 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (91 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (80 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 36.5% expected score (28 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (140 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (229 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (64 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (178 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (386 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.1% expected score (130 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (169 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (401 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (135 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (139 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 40.6% expected score (324 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 39.5% expected score (46 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (311 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (294 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (17 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (206 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 33.2% expected score (46 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation scores 47.5% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 46.1% and 48.9% — from 3.5K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
3.5K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation win rate?

Playing the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation, Black wins 45.5%, draws 3.9% and loses 50.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.5%. It rests on 3.5K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation performs best for Black at 1600-1799, with an Expected Score of 49.9% (698 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 47.1% in Blitz (1.8K games) against 46.6% in Rapid (434 games).

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 46.1%, draws 2.2% and loses 51.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.3%. It rests on 199 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 47.1%, draws 2.2% and loses 50.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.2%. It rests on 435 Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 48.2%, draws 3.4% and loses 48.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.9%. It rests on 698 Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 45.7%, draws 4.1% and loses 50.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.8%. It rests on 710 Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 42.0%, draws 4.4% and loses 53.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.2%. It rests on 514 Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 45.4%, draws 4.6% and loses 50.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.7%. It rests on 623 Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, Black wins 41.9%, draws 7.2% and loses 50.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.5%. It rests on 255 Lichess games, which average 38 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 46.4%, draws 3.9% and loses 49.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.4%. It rests on 1.3K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 45.1%, draws 3.9% and loses 51.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.1%. It rests on 1.8K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 44.4%, draws 4.2% and loses 51.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.6%. It rests on 434 Lichess games.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 45.5% of its games and loses 50.6%. It performs best at 1600-1799. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.