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Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation

3.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.5%Range (90% confident): 46.1% – 48.9%Based on 3.5K games
0%47.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.1% – 48.9%
Outcome Distribution
45.5%3.9%50.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...f6
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation
Analyzen=3.5K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation has a 47.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.1% and 48.9%), based on 3.5K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: -4.9% · Breakpoint: 1000-1199

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 33% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 33.3% win rate (12 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.1% win rate (79 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.1% win rate (199 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.1% win rate (435 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.2% win rate (698 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.7% win rate (710 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.0% win rate (514 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.4% win rate (623 games)
  • 2500+: 41.9% win rate (255 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~46%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 46.4% win rate (1,276 games)
  • Blitz: 45.1% win rate (1,798 games)
  • Rapid: 44.4% win rate (434 games)
  • Classical: 45.9% win rate (17 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.7% expected score (38 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (31 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (91 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (80 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 36.5% expected score (28 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (140 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (229 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (64 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (178 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (386 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.1% expected score (130 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (169 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (401 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (135 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (139 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 40.6% expected score (324 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 39.5% expected score (46 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (311 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (294 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (17 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (206 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 33.2% expected score (46 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.2%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 53.6% win rate for white (514 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (51.0%) outperforms Bullet (49.7%) by 1.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 45.8%-57.4%) win rate for white, based on 199 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 46.8%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 435 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 45.3%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 698 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 47.0%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 710 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation has a 53.6% (90% CI: 50.0%-57.2%) win rate for white, based on 514 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 46.8%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 623 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 45.7%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 255 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 47.4%-52.0%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 49.1%-53.0%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 47.4%-55.3%) win rate for white (434 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation is statistically balanced with a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.2%-52.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.