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Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation

218K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score48.1%Range (90% confident): 47.9% – 48.3%Based on 218K games
0%48.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.9% – 48.3%
Outcome Distribution
45.4%5.3%49.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Be7
Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation
Analyzen=218K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.3%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation has a 48.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.9% and 48.3%), based on 218K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 40%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.3% win rate (636 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.5% win rate (1,929 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.8% win rate (5,322 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.6% win rate (13,313 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.9% win rate (28,748 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.0% win rate (47,994 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.9% win rate (54,877 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.1% win rate (50,858 games)
  • 2500+: 39.8% win rate (14,102 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (49%), worst in Classical (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.5% win rate (4,695 games)
  • Bullet: 46.0% win rate (108,790 games)
  • Blitz: 44.6% win rate (87,985 games)
  • Rapid: 44.8% win rate (15,403 games)
  • Classical: 40.9% win rate (906 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (254 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (292 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 42.0% expected score (86 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 35.2% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (932 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (787 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 43.8% expected score (191 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 58.4% expected score (250 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (2,449 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (2,082 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (523 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 34.6% expected score (18 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 51.2% expected score (1,114 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (6,037 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (4,781 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (1,301 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (80 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 49.6% expected score (1,939 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (12,854 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (11,192 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (2,576 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.2% expected score (187 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 47.7% expected score (1,035 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (22,670 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (19,437 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (4,502 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.3% expected score (350 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.6% expected score (264 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (27,965 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (22,555 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (3,888 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 41.3% expected score (205 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 46.6% expected score (71 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (25,655 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (22,959 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (2,125 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 40.9% expected score (48 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 20.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (9,974 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.1% expected score (3,900 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.3% expected score (211 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 28.3% expected score (10 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Continuations (1)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation, Miladinovic Gambit
52.4%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 218K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 50.4% win rate for white (14K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.9%) outperforms Classical (47.8%) by 2.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation has a sharpness score of 94.7 (decisive), meaning 94.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 46.4%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 636 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 49.5%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 5.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 48K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 55K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 51K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 9.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.1%-50.5%) win rate for white (4.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.2%) win rate for white (109K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.0%) win rate for white (88K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.6%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.5%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.4%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 45.0%-50.5%) win rate for white (906 Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.3%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Charousek Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.