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Analyzer

Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation

22K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score51.1%Range (90% confident): 50.6% – 51.7%Based on 22K games
0%51.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.6% – 51.7%
Outcome Distribution
48.2%5.8%46.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...c5
Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation
Analyzen=22K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.8%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation has a 51.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 50.6% and 51.7%), based on 22K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 65% → 44%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 64.7% win rate (7 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.9% win rate (102 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.2% win rate (418 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.5% win rate (1,224 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.8% win rate (2,918 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.3% win rate (4,446 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.5% win rate (5,167 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.5% win rate (6,268 games)
  • 2500+: 43.9% win rate (1,848 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (49%), worst in Classical (41%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 49.3% win rate (6,693 games)
  • Blitz: 48.1% win rate (14,121 games)
  • Rapid: 45.3% win rate (1,523 games)
  • Classical: 40.8% win rate (61 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (68 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (194 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (193 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (30 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (432 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (671 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (117 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (798 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (1,812 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (292 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 67.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (1,108 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (2,866 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (447 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 40.6% expected score (25 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (1,367 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (3,404 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (389 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (1,731 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (4,319 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (217 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (992 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (826 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 41.9% expected score (23 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 20.6% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.4%-46.5%) win rate for white, based on 22K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 50.3% win rate for white (1.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (46.5%) outperforms Classical (52.0%) by -5.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation has a sharpness score of 94.2 (decisive), meaning 94.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation has a 53.6% (90% CI: 45.6%-61.6%) win rate for white, based on 102 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 44.0%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 418 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 48.0%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 47.4%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 44.9%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 4.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation has a 45.5% (90% CI: 44.4%-46.6%) win rate for white, based on 5.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation has a 43.3% (90% CI: 42.3%-44.3%) win rate for white, based on 6.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 45.9%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 8.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation has a 46.5% (90% CI: 45.5%-47.5%) win rate for white (6.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation has a 45.5% (90% CI: 44.9%-46.2%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 45.5%-49.7%) win rate for white (1.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.1%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Westphalian Variation is statistically balanced with a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.4%-46.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.