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Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense

211K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score45.1%Range (90% confident): 44.9% – 45.2%Based on 211K games
0%45.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 44.9% – 45.2%
Outcome Distribution
42.8%4.6%52.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...c6
Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense
Analyzen=211K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.6%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense has a 45.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 44.9% and 45.2%), based on 211K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 48% → 37%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.0% win rate (410 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.5% win rate (1,961 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.5% win rate (5,992 games)
  • 1400-1599: 43.8% win rate (16,010 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.5% win rate (37,251 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.6% win rate (60,025 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.4% win rate (53,120 games)
  • 2200-2499: 39.9% win rate (30,014 games)
  • 2500+: 37.0% win rate (5,765 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (47%), worst in Rapid (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 46.6% win rate (64 games)
  • Bullet: 44.2% win rate (88,637 games)
  • Blitz: 41.8% win rate (105,466 games)
  • Rapid: 41.0% win rate (15,806 games)
  • Classical: 41.2% win rate (575 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (213 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (172 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 40.6% expected score (25 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (1,057 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 43.0% expected score (751 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 42.0% expected score (149 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 44.5% expected score (2,941 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (2,523 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 42.1% expected score (512 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 54.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (7,058 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (7,404 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.0% expected score (1,475 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 49.1% expected score (53 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.9% expected score (31 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (14,371 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (19,708 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (3,007 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.5% expected score (134 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (21,077 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (33,822 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.1% expected score (4,866 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.4% expected score (258 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (21,057 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.3% expected score (27,907 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 43.1% expected score (4,061 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 33.1% expected score (93 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.8% expected score (16,126 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 40.5% expected score (12,204 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 38.4% expected score (1,659 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 38.7% expected score (25 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 41.6% expected score (4,737 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 36.7% expected score (975 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 43.5% expected score (52 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.5%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 211K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 55.5% win rate for white (5.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (52.8%) outperforms UltraBullet (51.1%) by 1.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense has a sharpness score of 95.4 (very decisive), meaning 95.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense has a 50.2% (90% CI: 46.1%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 410 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense has a 54.4% (90% CI: 52.5%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense has a 54.0% (90% CI: 52.9%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 6.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense has a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.6%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 37K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 60K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense has a 52.5% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 53K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense has a 54.6% (90% CI: 54.1%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 30K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense has a 55.5% (90% CI: 54.4%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 5.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.3%-52.9%) win rate for white (89K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.0%) win rate for white (105K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.1%-53.4%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense has a 48.8% (90% CI: 45.4%-52.3%) win rate for white (575 Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.0%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Orthodox Defense is statistically favors white with a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.5%-52.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.