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Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense

66K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

48.0%

40%55%
Floor47.6%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 48.3%.

Measured over 66K games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 5.8 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 66K games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
66K
Best context
50.9% at 2500+ Bullet
Worst context
41.5% at 2500+ Blitz
Average game length
37 moves
Games that end decisively
94.2%
Draws
5.8%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 58.8% at 0-999, 44.4% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 57.3% expected score (109 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (127 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 58.2% expected score (35 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (551 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (640 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (158 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (1,312 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (1,953 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (462 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (2,895 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (4,623 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.7% expected score (931 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (34 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (3,948 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (6,836 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (1,531 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.0% expected score (73 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (4,416 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (8,736 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (1,724 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.5% expected score (105 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (3,976 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (7,929 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (1,171 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 49.0% expected score (46 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (3,476 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (5,487 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (512 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 46.3% expected score (12 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (1,125 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 41.5% expected score (689 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 40.7% expected score (20 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense scores 48.0% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 47.6% and 48.3% — from 66K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
66K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate?

Playing the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense, Black wins 45.0%, draws 5.8% and loses 49.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.0%. It rests on 66K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense performs best for Black at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 54.0% (272 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 47.8% in Blitz (37K games) against 46.7% in Rapid (6.5K games).

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense has a sharpness score of 94.2 (decisive), meaning 94.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, Black wins 51.7%, draws 4.6% and loses 43.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.0%. It rests on 272 Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 47.1%, draws 3.4% and loses 49.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.8%. It rests on 1.4K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 47.4%, draws 3.0% and loses 49.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.9%. It rests on 3.7K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 45.5%, draws 4.1% and loses 50.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.6%. It rests on 8.5K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 44.7%, draws 4.5% and loses 50.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.0%. It rests on 12K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 44.8%, draws 5.5% and loses 49.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.6%. It rests on 15K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 45.3%, draws 6.8% and loses 48.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.7%. It rests on 13K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 44.5%, draws 8.6% and loses 47.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.8%. It rests on 9.5K Lichess games, which average 41 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, Black wins 41.1%, draws 12.2% and loses 46.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.2%. It rests on 1.8K Lichess games, which average 44 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 46.7%, draws 4.1% and loses 49.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.8%. It rests on 22K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 44.5%, draws 6.6% and loses 49.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.8%. It rests on 37K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 43.0%, draws 7.4% and loses 49.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.7%. It rests on 6.5K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical, Black wins 40.5%, draws 9.4% and loses 50.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.2%. It rests on 281 Lichess games.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 45.0% of its games and loses 49.1%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.