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Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation

44K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

53.7%

45%60%
Floor53.3%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 54.1%.

Measured over 44K games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 5.2 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 44K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
44K
Best context
56.0% at 2000-2199 Rapid
Worst context
50.3% at 0-999 Blitz
Average game length
36 moves
Games that end decisively
94.8%
Draws
5.2%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +7.1% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 49.0% at 0-999, 57.3% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (457 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (1,186 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (479 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (813 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.0% expected score (2,251 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (1,238 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 55.1% expected score (18 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (1,080 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (2,722 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (1,677 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 51.1% expected score (92 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (1,329 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (3,125 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (1,808 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.8% expected score (171 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (1,475 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (3,884 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.6% expected score (1,771 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 57.2% expected score (180 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (1,148 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.0% expected score (4,137 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (1,270 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.4% expected score (77 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (1,331 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (3,513 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.0% expected score (751 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (41 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (1,010 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (3,680 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (327 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 61.1% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (505 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (479 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (56 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Accepted
53.1%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation
54.9%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation
55.4%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Greco Variation
52.2%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation
55.4%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System
53.6%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation scores 53.7% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 53.3% and 54.1% — from 44K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
44K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate?

Playing the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation, White wins 51.1%, draws 5.2% and loses 43.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.7%. It rests on 44K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation performs best for White at 1600-1799, with an Expected Score of 54.5% (7.3K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 54.0% in Blitz (25K games) against 53.9% in Rapid (9.4K games).

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation has a sharpness score of 94.8 (decisive), meaning 94.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 49.8%, draws 3.6% and loses 46.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.6%. It rests on 2.1K Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 52.9%, draws 3.6% and loses 43.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.7%. It rests on 4.3K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 52.2%, draws 3.5% and loses 44.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.0%. It rests on 5.6K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 52.0%, draws 3.8% and loses 44.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.9%. It rests on 6.4K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 52.3%, draws 4.5% and loses 43.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.5%. It rests on 7.3K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 51.3%, draws 5.3% and loses 43.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.0%. It rests on 6.6K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 50.4%, draws 6.7% and loses 43.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.7%. It rests on 5.6K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 47.5%, draws 8.3% and loses 44.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.7%. It rests on 5.0K Lichess games, which average 40 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 47.7%, draws 12.4% and loses 39.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.9%. It rests on 1.0K Lichess games, which average 47 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 51.1%, draws 3.5% and loses 45.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.9%. It rests on 9.1K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 51.2%, draws 5.6% and loses 43.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.0%. It rests on 25K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 51.0%, draws 5.6% and loses 43.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.9%. It rests on 9.4K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 51.7%, draws 6.4% and loses 42.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.9%. It rests on 586 Lichess games.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Mannheim Variation is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 51.1% of its games and loses 43.7%. It performs best at 1600-1799. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.