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Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense

112K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Black Expected Score53.7%Range (90% confident): 53.4% – 53.9%Based on 112K games
0%53.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.4% – 53.9%
Outcome Distribution
51.5%4.4%44.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.cxd5
Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense
Analyzen=112K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.4%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense has a 53.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 53.4% and 53.9%), based on 112K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.2% · Bullet best · Classical worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.0% win rate (57 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.3% win rate (528 games)
  • 1200-1399: 55.2% win rate (2,065 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.7% win rate (7,553 games)
  • 1600-1799: 55.4% win rate (20,867 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.7% win rate (34,036 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.3% win rate (29,208 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.0% win rate (15,474 games)
  • 2500+: 42.7% win rate (2,330 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (55%), worst in Bullet (50%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 50.2% win rate (31,361 games)
  • Blitz: 51.4% win rate (67,757 games)
  • Rapid: 54.6% win rate (12,482 games)
  • Classical: 53.8% win rate (518 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (35 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (359 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (128 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 64.2% expected score (41 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (1,107 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (811 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (143 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (3,022 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.6% expected score (3,910 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 63.9% expected score (595 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 66.4% expected score (26 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (6,437 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 58.7% expected score (12,564 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 59.0% expected score (1,771 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 60.9% expected score (95 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (7,311 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.0% expected score (22,141 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 59.3% expected score (4,328 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 61.1% expected score (256 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (6,227 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (18,604 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.9% expected score (4,262 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (115 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (5,269 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (8,894 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (1,291 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 43.1% expected score (20 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (1,594 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 42.0% expected score (688 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 39.5% expected score (46 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Continuations (6)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Capablanca Variation
50.7%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Bogoljubow Variation
50.9%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Yugoslav Variation
50.5%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation
48.0%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Bogoljubov Variation
48.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Argentine Variation
54.9%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense has a 44.1% (90% CI: 43.9%-44.4%) win rate for white, based on 112K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 50.0% win rate for white (2.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (46.9%) outperforms Classical (36.7%) by 10.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense has a sharpness score of 95.6 (very decisive), meaning 95.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense has a 44.5% (90% CI: 40.9%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 528 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense has a 42.7% (90% CI: 40.9%-44.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense has a 41.3% (90% CI: 40.4%-42.3%) win rate for white, based on 7.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense has a 41.2% (90% CI: 40.6%-41.7%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense has a 43.2% (90% CI: 42.7%-43.6%) win rate for white, based on 34K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense has a 45.5% (90% CI: 45.0%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense has a 50.0% (90% CI: 48.3%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.4%) win rate for white (31K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense has a 43.7% (90% CI: 43.4%-44.1%) win rate for white (68K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense has a 39.3% (90% CI: 38.6%-40.0%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense has a 36.7% (90% CI: 33.2%-40.2%) win rate for white (518 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.5%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense is slightly favors black with a 44.1% (90% CI: 43.9%-44.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.