TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit

91K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.1%Range (90% confident): 46.8% – 47.4%Based on 91K games
0%47.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.8% – 47.4%
Outcome Distribution
45.3%3.5%51.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...e5
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit
Analyzen=91K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit has a 47.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.8% and 47.4%), based on 91K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +0.3% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 89.7 · Trap factor: -1.7 · n=91K

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 42% → 45%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.3% win rate (3,050 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.7% win rate (4,928 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.3% win rate (8,070 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.8% win rate (12,824 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.4% win rate (16,839 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.0% win rate (19,657 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.8% win rate (15,964 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.8% win rate (8,657 games)
  • 2500+: 44.5% win rate (1,275 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (46%), worst in Classical (37%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 40.7% win rate (285 games)
  • Bullet: 46.3% win rate (48,582 games)
  • Blitz: 44.8% win rate (34,637 games)
  • Rapid: 41.5% win rate (7,512 games)
  • Classical: 37.1% win rate (248 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.9% expected score (953 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.0% expected score (1,446 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 39.4% expected score (640 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 29.2% expected score (32 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (1,844 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (2,110 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 42.5% expected score (928 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 40.4% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 41.9% expected score (48 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (3,477 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (3,287 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 42.6% expected score (1,213 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 36.0% expected score (45 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 39.4% expected score (88 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (6,637 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (4,613 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.9% expected score (1,411 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 36.3% expected score (75 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.8% expected score (65 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (8,322 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (6,845 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 43.8% expected score (1,549 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (58 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.3% expected score (37 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (10,488 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (7,950 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (1,143 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.1% expected score (39 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (10,047 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (5,350 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (546 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 43.1% expected score (13 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (5,866 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (2,709 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 40.4% expected score (82 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (948 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 42.6% expected score (327 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 91K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 54.8% win rate for white (3.0K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (58.5%) outperforms Bullet (50.8%) by 7.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit has a 54.8% (90% CI: 53.4%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit has a 53.5% (90% CI: 52.3%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 4.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.1%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 8.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.8%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.0%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.9%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 8.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit has a 49.7% (90% CI: 47.4%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit has a 58.5% (90% CI: 53.6%-63.2%) win rate for white (285 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.9%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.2%) win rate for white (49K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.4%) win rate for white (35K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit has a 54.4% (90% CI: 53.5%-55.3%) win rate for white (7.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit has a 57.9% (90% CI: 52.7%-63.0%) win rate for white (248 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Tartakower Gambit is statistically favors white with a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.