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Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line

38K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score48.7%Range (90% confident): 48.3% – 49.1%Based on 38K games
0%48.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.3% – 49.1%
Outcome Distribution
42.1%13.1%44.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...a6
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line
Analyzen=38K
Avg Length42 moves
Sharpness87%
Draw Rate13.1%

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 48.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.3% and 49.1%), based on 38K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 43% → 32%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 43.4% win rate (25 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.1% win rate (105 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.4% win rate (233 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.0% win rate (649 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.7% win rate (1,727 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.3% win rate (3,993 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.1% win rate (7,971 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.1% win rate (15,491 games)
  • 2500+: 32.4% win rate (7,572 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (43%), worst in Classical (38%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 43.1% win rate (9,199 games)
  • Blitz: 42.1% win rate (25,096 games)
  • Rapid: 39.7% win rate (3,169 games)
  • Classical: 38.4% win rate (302 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (9 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (51 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (29 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (25 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (69 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (128 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.6% expected score (31 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.5% expected score (200 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (347 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (97 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (475 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (964 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (262 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (26 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (744 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (2,644 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (556 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 58.0% expected score (49 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (1,578 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (5,533 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (766 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 47.4% expected score (94 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (3,249 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (11,151 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (1,024 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (67 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (2,830 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.3% expected score (4,291 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 45.6% expected score (395 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 36.1% expected score (56 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Accepted
53.1%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation
54.9%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation
55.4%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Greco Variation
52.2%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation
55.4%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System
53.6%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 44.8% (90% CI: 44.4%-45.2%) win rate for white, based on 38K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 46.4% win rate for white (15K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (45.1%) outperforms Classical (38.7%) by 6.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a sharpness score of 86.9 (moderately decisive), meaning 86.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 42 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 44.6% (90% CI: 36.8%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 105 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 46.7% (90% CI: 41.4%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 233 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 46.5% (90% CI: 43.3%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 649 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 44.5% (90% CI: 42.5%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 44.2% (90% CI: 42.9%-45.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 8.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 44.4% (90% CI: 43.5%-45.3%) win rate for white, based on 8.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 9.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.8%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 11.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 41.9% (90% CI: 41.0%-42.9%) win rate for white, based on 7.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 50 moves with a 25.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 45.1% (90% CI: 44.3%-46.0%) win rate for white (9.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.7%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 45.1% (90% CI: 44.6%-45.7%) win rate for white (25K Lichess games). Draw rate is 12.8%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 41.5% (90% CI: 40.0%-42.9%) win rate for white (3.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 18.9%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line has a 38.7% (90% CI: 34.2%-43.3%) win rate for white (302 Lichess games). Draw rate is 22.9%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Main Line is statistically balanced with a 44.8% (90% CI: 44.4%-45.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.