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Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation

1.0K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score50.4%Range (90% confident): 47.8% – 53.0%Based on 1.0K games
0%50.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.8% – 53.0%
Outcome Distribution
47.4%6.1%46.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Qe7
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation
Analyzen=1.0K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.1%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation has a 50.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.8% and 53.0%), based on 1.0K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +5.5% · Breakpoint: 1400-1599

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • 1000-1199: 35.5% win rate (14 games)
  • 1200-1399: 38.2% win rate (26 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.7% win rate (90 games)
  • 1600-1799: 43.9% win rate (207 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.9% win rate (292 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.4% win rate (131 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.9% win rate (166 games)
  • 2500+: 52.6% win rate (85 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Classical (39%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 45.4% win rate (200 games)
  • Blitz: 48.7% win rate (579 games)
  • Rapid: 45.7% win rate (223 games)
  • Classical: 39.1% win rate (10 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199——
1200-1399
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 20.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (21 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (53 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 58.6% expected score (16 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 59.9% expected score (29 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 42.7% expected score (128 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 41.8% expected score (29 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (189 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (68 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (28 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (63 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (39 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 40.1% expected score (39 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (87 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (40 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 64.1% expected score (41 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (40 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 44.0%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 50.1% win rate for white (207 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (49.2%) outperforms Bullet (45.9%) by 3.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation has a sharpness score of 93.9 (decisive), meaning 93.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 44.4%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 207 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 42.1%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 292 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation has a 45.7% (90% CI: 38.6%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 131 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 40.0%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 166 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 6.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation has a 45.9% (90% CI: 40.2%-51.7%) win rate for white (200 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.7%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation has a 45.7% (90% CI: 42.3%-49.1%) win rate for white (579 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 43.7%-54.7%) win rate for white (223 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation is slightly favors black with a 46.6% (90% CI: 44.0%-49.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.