1.8K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Junge Variation has a 58.3% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 56.4% and 60.2%), based on 1.8K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Improves with rating: 20% → 53%
Best in Blitz (59%), worst in Classical (27%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1400-1599 | — | — | |||
| 1600-1799 | — | — | |||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Junge Variation has a 40.1% (90% CI: 38.2%-42.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K rated games from Lichess.
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Junge Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 43.9% win rate for white (323 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (45.5%) outperforms Rapid (35.0%) by 10.5%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Junge Variation has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Junge Variation has a 35.7% (90% CI: 29.8%-41.7%) win rate for white, based on 171 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Junge Variation has a 38.5% (90% CI: 34.8%-42.2%) win rate for white, based on 473 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Junge Variation has a 41.1% (90% CI: 38.1%-44.1%) win rate for white, based on 725 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Junge Variation has a 43.9% (90% CI: 39.4%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 323 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Junge Variation has a 45.5% (90% CI: 42.1%-48.9%) win rate for white (576 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.
In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Junge Variation has a 37.5% (90% CI: 35.1%-39.9%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Junge Variation is slightly favors black with a 40.1% (90% CI: 38.2%-42.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.