Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Christensen Gambit
6.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
60.9%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 61.9%.
Measured over 6.5K games at this level and clock.
A strong choice for White at this level and clock.
Outcomes for White
Draw 4.3 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 6.5K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 6.5K
- Best context
- 62.3% at 1600-1799 Blitz
- Worst context
- 61.4% at 1600-1799 Bullet
- Average game length
- 32 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 95.7%
- Draws
- 4.3%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It holds about the same all the way up, near 61.5%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | ||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (28 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 61.4% expected score (47 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 43.3% expected score (6 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 60.9% expected score (104 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 58.2% expected score (206 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 68.6% expected score (20 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 62.3% expected score (259 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 62.0% expected score (534 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 69.7% expected score (85 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 61.4% expected score (518 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 62.3% expected score (972 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (197 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 38.6% expected score (16 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 62.2% expected score (520 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 61.4% expected score (1,102 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (256 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 60.7% expected score (22 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 61.7% expected score (358 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 62.0% expected score (477 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 65.0% expected score (169 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 58.7% expected score (195 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.5% expected score (300 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 32.0% expected score (29 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 65.9% expected score (30 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Christensen Gambit scores 60.9% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 59.9% and 61.9% — from 6.5K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 6.5K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Christensen Gambit win rate?
Playing the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Christensen Gambit, White wins 58.8%, draws 4.3% and loses 37.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 60.9%. It rests on 6.5K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Christensen Gambit perform best?
The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Christensen Gambit performs best for White at 1400-1599, with an Expected Score of 62.8% (880 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Christensen Gambit better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Christensen Gambit scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 61.5% in Blitz (3.7K games) against 57.7% in Rapid (763 games).
How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Christensen Gambit?
The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Christensen Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Christensen Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 58.7%, draws 2.3% and loses 39.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 59.8%. It rests on 330 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Christensen Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 61.3%, draws 3.0% and loses 35.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 62.8%. It rests on 880 Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Christensen Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 59.1%, draws 3.1% and loses 37.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 60.7%. It rests on 1.7K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Christensen Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 58.5%, draws 4.5% and loses 37.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 60.8%. It rests on 1.9K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Christensen Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 59.7%, draws 5.2% and loses 35.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 62.3%. It rests on 1.0K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Christensen Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 53.3%, draws 8.5% and loses 38.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.5%. It rests on 525 Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Christensen Gambit win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 60.0%, draws 2.7% and loses 37.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 61.4%. It rests on 2.0K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Christensen Gambit win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 59.0%, draws 4.9% and loses 36.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 61.5%. It rests on 3.7K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Christensen Gambit win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 55.1%, draws 5.2% and loses 39.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.7%. It rests on 763 Lichess games.
Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Christensen Gambit a good opening?
The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Christensen Gambit is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 58.8% of its games and loses 37.0%. It performs best at 1400-1599. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.