Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit
2.0M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds
48.3%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. Its best is the same figure — the band is too tight to plot.
Measured over 2.0M games at this level and clock.
Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 3.9 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 2.0M games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 2.0M
- Best context
- 50.6% at 2000-2199 Bullet
- Worst context
- 40.3% at 1800-1999 UltraBullet
- Average game length
- 32 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 96.1%
- Draws
- 3.9%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 46.9% at 0-999, 51.6% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 43.3% expected score (190 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (19,715 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (35,422 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (14,538 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 52.9% expected score (87 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.9% expected score (462 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (39,960 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (64,268 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (27,694 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 42.2% expected score (491 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 47.2% expected score (1,083 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (68,637 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (101,362 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (40,873 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 42.6% expected score (1,374 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 48.2% expected score (2,967 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (105,881 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (152,792 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (51,338 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 40.8% expected score (2,412 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 47.5% expected score (2,791 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (151,264 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (220,466 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (55,705 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (2,783 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 40.3% expected score (633 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (172,686 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (218,294 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (50,645 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.9% expected score (1,973 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 49.0% expected score (188 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (134,079 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (112,720 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 46.5% expected score (20,118 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 40.0% expected score (342 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 58.5% expected score (87 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (75,317 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (33,837 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (2,493 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 40.2% expected score (29 games)
- 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (14,274 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.0% expected score (2,895 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 45.9% expected score (83 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit scores 48.3% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 48.2% and 48.3% — from 2.0M Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 2.0M+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit win rate?
Playing the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Black wins 46.3%, draws 3.9% and loses 49.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.3%. It rests on 2.0M rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit perform best?
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit performs best for Black at 2000-2199, with an Expected Score of 49.4% (267K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 47.9% in Blitz (942K games) against 46.7% in Rapid (263K games).
How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit?
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, Black wins 44.4%, draws 3.6% and loses 52.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.2%. It rests on 70K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, Black wins 44.5%, draws 3.3% and loses 52.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.2%. It rests on 133K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, Black wins 45.2%, draws 3.2% and loses 51.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.9%. It rests on 213K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, Black wins 45.8%, draws 3.3% and loses 50.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.5%. It rests on 315K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, Black wins 46.7%, draws 3.8% and loses 49.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.6%. It rests on 433K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, Black wins 46.9%, draws 4.2% and loses 48.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.0%. It rests on 444K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, Black wins 47.1%, draws 4.6% and loses 48.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.4%. It rests on 267K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, Black wins 46.8%, draws 5.1% and loses 48.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.4%. It rests on 112K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, Black wins 43.2%, draws 7.4% and loses 49.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.9%. It rests on 17K Lichess games, which average 40 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit win rate in UltraBullet?
In UltraBullet, Black wins 46.4%, draws 1.4% and loses 52.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.1%. It rests on 8.4K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, Black wins 47.7%, draws 3.1% and loses 49.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.3%. It rests on 782K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, Black wins 45.7%, draws 4.4% and loses 49.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.9%. It rests on 942K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, Black wins 44.3%, draws 4.8% and loses 51.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.7%. It rests on 263K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit win rate in Classical?
In Classical, Black wins 41.1%, draws 5.1% and loses 53.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.7%. It rests on 9.5K Lichess games.
Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit a good opening?
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit is about level. Across all ratings, Black wins 46.3% of its games and loses 49.8%. It performs best at 2000-2199. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.