Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack
55K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
58.0%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 58.4%.
Measured over 55K games at this level and clock.
A strong choice for White at this level and clock.
Outcomes for White
Draw 3.1 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 55K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 55K
- Best context
- 61.6% at 1600-1799 Rapid
- Worst context
- 53.1% at 2200-2499 Bullet
- Average game length
- 31 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 96.9%
- Draws
- 3.1%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 66.5% at 0-999, 58.8% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 56.9% expected score (130 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 61.2% expected score (133 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 77.9% expected score (29 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (550 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.3% expected score (552 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 67.2% expected score (115 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 72.3% expected score (3 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 57.5% expected score (1,380 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (1,629 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 58.4% expected score (412 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 68.6% expected score (12 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 57.2% expected score (2,582 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 58.6% expected score (5,443 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 60.9% expected score (1,147 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 59.7% expected score (40 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.6% expected score (3,922 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 58.1% expected score (10,803 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 61.6% expected score (2,677 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 59.9% expected score (110 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (3,282 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 58.8% expected score (9,351 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (3,012 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 69.4% expected score (76 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (1,608 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (3,456 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 59.2% expected score (1,019 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 67.0% expected score (22 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (640 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (982 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (154 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (57 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 71.2% expected score (34 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack scores 58.0% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 57.7% and 58.4% — from 55K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 55K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack win rate?
Playing the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack, White wins 56.4%, draws 3.1% and loses 40.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.0%. It rests on 55K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack perform best?
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack performs best for White at 1800-1999, with an Expected Score of 58.6% (16K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 58.0% in Blitz (32K games) against 60.7% in Rapid (8.6K games).
How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack?
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack has a sharpness score of 96.9 (very decisive), meaning 96.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, White wins 60.6%, draws 1.2% and loses 38.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 61.2%. It rests on 293 Lichess games, which average 22 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, White wins 56.5%, draws 2.3% and loses 41.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.7%. It rests on 1.2K Lichess games, which average 25 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 56.3%, draws 2.2% and loses 41.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.4%. It rests on 3.4K Lichess games, which average 27 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 57.2%, draws 2.6% and loses 40.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.5%. It rests on 9.2K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 56.8%, draws 3.0% and loses 40.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.3%. It rests on 18K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 56.8%, draws 3.4% and loses 39.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.6%. It rests on 16K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 54.5%, draws 4.2% and loses 41.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.6%. It rests on 6.1K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 51.4%, draws 4.2% and loses 44.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.6%. It rests on 1.8K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 55.3%, draws 1.9% and loses 42.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.3%. It rests on 14K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 56.3%, draws 3.5% and loses 40.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.0%. It rests on 32K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 58.8%, draws 3.8% and loses 37.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 60.7%. It rests on 8.6K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack win rate in Classical?
In Classical, White wins 61.1%, draws 5.8% and loses 33.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 64.0%. It rests on 266 Lichess games.
Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack a good opening?
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 56.4% of its games and loses 40.4%. It performs best at 1800-1999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.