Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit
1.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
64.8%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 67.2%.
Measured over 1.1K games at this level and clock.
A strong choice for White at this level and clock.
Outcomes for White
Draw 3.8 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 1.1K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 1.1K
- Best context
- not measured yet
- Average game length
- 31 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 96.2%
- Draws
- 3.8%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 30.0% at 1000-1199, 70.4% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | — | — | ||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 68.1% expected score (29 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 63.4% expected score (103 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (39 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 64.1% expected score (172 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (29 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 69.8% expected score (44 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 67.4% expected score (278 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (33 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 67.5% expected score (104 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 70.2% expected score (162 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 70.8% expected score (25 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit scores 64.8% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 62.4% and 67.2% — from 1.1K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 1.1K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit win rate?
Playing the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit, White wins 62.9%, draws 3.8% and loses 33.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 64.8%. It rests on 1.1K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit perform best?
The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit performs best for White at 2200-2499, with an Expected Score of 69.1% (274 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 66.2% in Blitz (727 games) against 51.4% in Rapid (72 games).
How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit?
The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 63.1%, draws 1.1% and loses 35.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 63.7%. It rests on 134 Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 57.1%, draws 2.7% and loses 40.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.4%. It rests on 243 Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 64.1%, draws 4.9% and loses 31.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 66.6%. It rests on 355 Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 66.2%, draws 5.6% and loses 28.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 69.1%. It rests on 274 Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 65.0%, draws 1.0% and loses 34.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 65.5%. It rests on 247 Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 64.0%, draws 4.3% and loses 31.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 66.2%. It rests on 727 Lichess games.
Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit a good opening?
The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 62.9% of its games and loses 33.3%. It performs best at 2200-2499. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.