Skip to content
TrueEloPlay what wins.
Score a position

Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense

2.2M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
h8
g
f
e
d
c
b
a
4...Bb4
Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

44.8%

40%55%
Floor44.7%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. Its best is the same figure — the band is too tight to plot.

Measured over 2.2M games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 5.3 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 2.2M games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
2.2M
Best context
49.4% at 2500+ Classical
Worst context
42.8% at 2000-2199 Classical
Average game length
35 moves
Games that end decisively
94.7%
Draws
5.3%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 49.4% at 0-999, 46.3% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.6% expected score (31 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (6,621 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (7,467 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (1,978 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 36.9% expected score (44 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (30,116 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (30,027 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.5% expected score (7,591 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 39.1% expected score (76 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 54.2% expected score (200 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (74,005 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (86,024 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (19,986 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 46.5% expected score (475 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 48.0% expected score (831 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (131,410 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (174,442 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.0% expected score (41,537 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.6% expected score (1,565 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 45.1% expected score (1,422 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.3% expected score (195,948 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.6% expected score (250,180 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (54,861 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.7% expected score (2,884 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.8% expected score (695 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (201,050 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (249,999 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.8% expected score (51,615 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 44.1% expected score (2,621 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 43.0% expected score (169 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 44.8% expected score (138,421 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.4% expected score (146,863 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 43.8% expected score (27,316 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 42.8% expected score (921 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 46.8% expected score (45 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (82,961 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (61,702 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 43.0% expected score (8,358 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 44.6% expected score (314 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (36,670 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (16,584 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (2,905 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 49.4% expected score (1,080 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Continuations (2)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Alekhine Variation
49.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation
53.1%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense scores 44.8% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 44.7% and 44.8% — from 2.2M Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
2.2M+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense win rate?

Playing the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Black wins 42.1%, draws 5.3% and loses 52.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.8%. It rests on 2.2M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense performs best for Black at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 47.0% (57K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 44.8% in Blitz (1.0M games) against 44.9% in Rapid (216K games).

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense has a sharpness score of 94.7 (decisive), meaning 94.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, Black wins 45.8%, draws 2.7% and loses 51.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.2%. It rests on 16K Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 44.2%, draws 2.6% and loses 53.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.5%. It rests on 68K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 43.5%, draws 2.8% and loses 53.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.9%. It rests on 181K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 43.1%, draws 3.3% and loses 53.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.7%. It rests on 350K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 42.6%, draws 3.7% and loses 53.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.5%. It rests on 505K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 42.4%, draws 4.3% and loses 53.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.6%. It rests on 506K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 42.0%, draws 5.0% and loses 53.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.5%. It rests on 314K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 41.9%, draws 6.1% and loses 52.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.0%. It rests on 153K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, Black wins 21.7%, draws 50.5% and loses 27.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.0%. It rests on 57K Lichess games, which average 49 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, Black wins 45.4%, draws 1.9% and loses 52.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.4%. It rests on 3.4K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 42.3%, draws 4.7% and loses 53.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.7%. It rests on 897K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 42.0%, draws 5.5% and loses 52.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.8%. It rests on 1.0M Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 41.7%, draws 6.4% and loses 51.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.9%. It rests on 216K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical, Black wins 36.5%, draws 16.2% and loses 47.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.6%. It rests on 9.9K Lichess games.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 42.1% of its games and loses 52.6%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.