Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense
95K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds
48.0%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 48.2%.
Measured over 95K games at this level and clock.
Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 6.2 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 95K games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 95K
- Best context
- 52.3% at 1200-1399 Bullet
- Worst context
- 40.9% at 2500+ Blitz
- Average game length
- 37 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 93.8%
- Draws
- 6.2%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 53.8% at 0-999, 39.2% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 60.2% expected score (43 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (31 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (10 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (278 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (180 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.1% expected score (43 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (735 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (692 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (187 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (2,068 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (2,071 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (490 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 56.8% expected score (28 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (4,806 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (6,168 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (1,040 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.2% expected score (59 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (7,024 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (12,566 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (1,828 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.0% expected score (137 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (7,788 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (15,294 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (2,235 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 40.2% expected score (105 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (7,864 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (13,318 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (1,657 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 40.2% expected score (34 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (3,968 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 40.9% expected score (2,389 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 39.6% expected score (171 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 32.5% expected score (47 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense scores 48.0% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 47.7% and 48.2% — from 95K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 95K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense win rate?
Playing the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense, Black wins 44.9%, draws 6.2% and loses 49.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.0%. It rests on 95K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense perform best?
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense performs best for Black at 1400-1599, with an Expected Score of 50.6% (4.7K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 47.7% in Blitz (53K games) against 47.7% in Rapid (7.7K games).
How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense?
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense has a sharpness score of 93.8 (decisive), meaning 93.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, Black wins 48.6%, draws 1.7% and loses 49.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.4%. It rests on 502 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, Black wins 48.3%, draws 2.9% and loses 48.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.8%. It rests on 1.6K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, Black wins 49.0%, draws 3.3% and loses 47.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.6%. It rests on 4.7K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, Black wins 47.8%, draws 4.1% and loses 48.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.8%. It rests on 12K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, Black wins 47.0%, draws 4.9% and loses 48.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.5%. It rests on 22K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, Black wins 45.2%, draws 6.2% and loses 48.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.3%. It rests on 25K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, Black wins 42.3%, draws 7.2% and loses 50.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.0%. It rests on 23K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, Black wins 36.0%, draws 13.2% and loses 50.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.6%. It rests on 6.6K Lichess games, which average 45 moves.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, Black wins 46.1%, draws 4.7% and loses 49.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.5%. It rests on 35K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, Black wins 44.3%, draws 6.7% and loses 49.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.7%. It rests on 53K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, Black wins 43.5%, draws 8.3% and loses 48.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.7%. It rests on 7.7K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense win rate in Classical?
In Classical, Black wins 36.2%, draws 17.0% and loses 46.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.7%. It rests on 414 Lichess games.
Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense a good opening?
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 44.9% of its games and loses 49.0%. It performs best at 1400-1599. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.