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Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit

33K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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3...Nf6
Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

50.4%

45%55%
Floor49.9%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 50.8%.

Measured over 33K games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 6.0 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 33K games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
33K
Best context
53.9% at 2200-2499 Bullet
Worst context
44.7% at 1800-1999 Rapid
Average game length
35 moves
Games that end decisively
94.0%
Draws
6.0%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +3.8% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 53.9% at 0-999, 42.3% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 58.4% expected score (171 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (209 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 37.2% expected score (53 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (448 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (544 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (137 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (1,005 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (1,239 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.7% expected score (301 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 56.4% expected score (22 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (1,859 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (1,849 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.9% expected score (517 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 40.5% expected score (30 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 47.5% expected score (18 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (2,198 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (2,463 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (594 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.0% expected score (38 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 65.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (2,415 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (2,715 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (582 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.5% expected score (18 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (2,208 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (2,473 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (401 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (2,848 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (4,181 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (183 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 34.6% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (904 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (683 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 41.9% expected score (17 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit scores 50.4% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 49.9% and 50.8% — from 33K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
33K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit win rate?

Playing the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit, Black wins 47.4%, draws 6.0% and loses 46.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.4%. It rests on 33K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit performs best for Black at 2200-2499, with an Expected Score of 53.0% (7.2K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 49.9% in Blitz (16K games) against 46.2% in Rapid (2.8K games).

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit has a sharpness score of 94.0 (decisive), meaning 94.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, Black wins 50.9%, draws 2.0% and loses 47.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.9%. It rests on 434 Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 46.8%, draws 3.3% and loses 49.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.5%. It rests on 1.1K Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 47.6%, draws 3.5% and loses 48.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.4%. It rests on 2.6K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 48.8%, draws 3.4% and loses 47.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.6%. It rests on 4.3K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 46.7%, draws 4.0% and loses 49.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.7%. It rests on 5.3K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 47.0%, draws 5.0% and loses 48.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.5%. It rests on 5.7K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 48.2%, draws 6.7% and loses 45.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.6%. It rests on 5.1K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 48.1%, draws 9.7% and loses 42.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.0%. It rests on 7.2K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, Black wins 41.0%, draws 10.6% and loses 48.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.3%. It rests on 1.6K Lichess games, which average 42 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 49.6%, draws 4.4% and loses 46.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.8%. It rests on 14K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 46.3%, draws 7.3% and loses 46.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.9%. It rests on 16K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 43.0%, draws 6.3% and loses 50.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.2%. It rests on 2.8K Lichess games.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit is about level. Across all ratings, Black wins 47.4% of its games and loses 46.6%. It performs best at 2200-2499. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.