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Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit

33K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score50.4%Range (90% confident): 49.9% – 50.8%Based on 33K games
0%50.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.9% – 50.8%
Outcome Distribution
47.4%6.0%46.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Nf6
Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit
Analyzen=33K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.0%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit has a 50.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.9% and 50.8%), based on 33K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +3.8% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 51% → 41%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.9% win rate (434 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.8% win rate (1,132 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.6% win rate (2,558 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.8% win rate (4,277 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.7% win rate (5,311 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.0% win rate (5,745 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.2% win rate (5,094 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.1% win rate (7,227 games)
  • 2500+: 41.0% win rate (1,609 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (50%), worst in Rapid (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 49.2% win rate (91 games)
  • Bullet: 49.6% win rate (14,056 games)
  • Blitz: 46.3% win rate (16,356 games)
  • Rapid: 43.0% win rate (2,785 games)
  • Classical: 43.3% win rate (99 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 58.4% expected score (171 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (209 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 37.2% expected score (53 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (448 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (544 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (137 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (1,005 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (1,239 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.7% expected score (301 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 56.4% expected score (22 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (1,859 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (1,849 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.9% expected score (517 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 40.5% expected score (30 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 47.5% expected score (18 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (2,198 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (2,463 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (594 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.0% expected score (38 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 65.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (2,415 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (2,715 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (582 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.5% expected score (18 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (2,208 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (2,473 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (401 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (2,848 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (4,181 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (183 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 34.6% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (904 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (683 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 41.9% expected score (17 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 33K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 49.3% win rate for white (5.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (50.7%) outperforms UltraBullet (44.9%) by 5.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit has a sharpness score of 94.0 (decisive), meaning 94.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit has a 47.2% (90% CI: 43.3%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 434 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit has a 49.9% (90% CI: 47.4%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit has a 48.9% (90% CI: 47.3%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit has a 47.7% (90% CI: 46.5%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.2%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 5.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit has a 48.0% (90% CI: 46.9%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 5.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit has a 45.0% (90% CI: 43.9%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit has a 42.2% (90% CI: 41.3%-43.2%) win rate for white, based on 7.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 9.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit has a 48.4% (90% CI: 46.4%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 10.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.3%-46.7%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit has a 46.5% (90% CI: 45.8%-47.1%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.3%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit has a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.2%-52.3%) win rate for white (2.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit is statistically balanced with a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.