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Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation

12K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.6%Range (90% confident): 46.9% – 48.4%Based on 12K games
0%47.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.9% – 48.4%
Outcome Distribution
43.2%8.8%48.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...dxc4
Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation
Analyzen=12K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness91%
Draw Rate8.8%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 47.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.9% and 48.4%), based on 12K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 20% → 38%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1200-1399: 57.9% win rate (8 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.7% win rate (91 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.6% win rate (414 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.2% win rate (1,633 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.2% win rate (3,434 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.2% win rate (4,657 games)
  • 2500+: 38.3% win rate (1,489 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (46%), worst in Classical (39%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 45.7% win rate (2,601 games)
  • Blitz: 42.6% win rate (8,209 games)
  • Rapid: 41.0% win rate (869 games)
  • Classical: 39.4% win rate (48 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199————
1200-1399———
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (43 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (41 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (124 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 58.3% expected score (277 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (12 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (288 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (1,183 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (148 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 75.8% expected score (14 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (423 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (2,621 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (372 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 42.3% expected score (18 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (1,031 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (3,340 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 40.5% expected score (283 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (688 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (743 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 42.6% expected score (46 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 42.6% expected score (12 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 12K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 49.6% win rate for white (4.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (47.9%) outperforms Rapid (48.7%) by -0.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a sharpness score of 91.2 (decisive), meaning 91.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 43.7% (90% CI: 39.7%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 414 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 46.6%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 47.4%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 8.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.4%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 42.2% (90% CI: 40.1%-44.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 49 moves with a 19.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 46.8%-50.0%) win rate for white (2.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.0%-48.8%) win rate for white (8.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.5%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 45.9%-51.4%) win rate for white (869 Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.4%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Rubinstein Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.