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Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line

76K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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5.Nbd2
Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

54.6%

45%60%
Floor54.3%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 54.9%.

Measured over 76K games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 4.8 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 76K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
76K
Best context
62.8% at 2200-2499 Rapid
Worst context
52.0% at 1200-1399 Bullet
Average game length
34 moves
Games that end decisively
95.2%
Draws
4.8%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.5% · Classical best · Bullet worst

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It holds about the same all the way up, near 54.5%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (67 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (77 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (352 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 59.1% expected score (313 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (83 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (1,359 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (1,194 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 61.0% expected score (249 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 92.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (2,591 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (4,394 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 58.5% expected score (824 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 63.6% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (3,715 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (9,919 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (2,071 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 59.4% expected score (110 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (4,076 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (11,393 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (3,320 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 61.1% expected score (180 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (3,226 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (10,632 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 58.8% expected score (1,975 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 67.3% expected score (68 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (2,995 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (8,005 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 62.8% expected score (533 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (1,065 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.7% expected score (711 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (20 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line scores 54.6% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 54.3% and 54.9% — from 76K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
76K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line win rate?

Playing the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line, White wins 52.2%, draws 4.8% and loses 43.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.6%. It rests on 76K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line performs best for White at 2200-2499, with an Expected Score of 56.3% (12K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 54.8% in Blitz (47K games) against 57.3% in Rapid (9.1K games).

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 52.4%, draws 2.2% and loses 45.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.5%. It rests on 156 Lichess games, which average 24 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 52.3%, draws 2.5% and loses 45.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.6%. It rests on 749 Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 53.5%, draws 2.5% and loses 43.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.8%. It rests on 2.8K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 53.0%, draws 3.6% and loses 43.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.8%. It rests on 7.8K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 51.6%, draws 4.0% and loses 44.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.6%. It rests on 16K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 51.8%, draws 4.9% and loses 43.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.3%. It rests on 19K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 52.0%, draws 5.3% and loses 42.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.7%. It rests on 16K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 53.3%, draws 6.0% and loses 40.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.3%. It rests on 12K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 52.2%, draws 7.3% and loses 40.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.8%. It rests on 1.8K Lichess games, which average 40 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 51.2%, draws 3.3% and loses 45.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.9%. It rests on 19K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 52.2%, draws 5.1% and loses 42.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.8%. It rests on 47K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 54.2%, draws 6.2% and loses 39.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.3%. It rests on 9.1K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 59.7%, draws 5.3% and loses 35.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 62.3%. It rests on 405 Lichess games.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Modern Line is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 52.2% of its games and loses 43.0%. It performs best at 2200-2499. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.