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Analyzer

Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense

43K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.8%Range (90% confident): 46.5% – 47.2%Based on 43K games
0%46.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.5% – 47.2%
Outcome Distribution
44.4%4.8%50.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...a6
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense
Analyzen=43K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.8%

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense has a 46.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.5% and 47.2%), based on 43K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 41%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.4% win rate (236 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.6% win rate (1,114 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.4% win rate (2,863 games)
  • 1400-1599: 43.3% win rate (5,305 games)
  • 1600-1799: 42.5% win rate (6,908 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.2% win rate (7,709 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.4% win rate (8,501 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.5% win rate (8,847 games)
  • 2500+: 41.3% win rate (1,988 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (46%), worst in Rapid (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 45.5% win rate (15 games)
  • Bullet: 44.3% win rate (13,444 games)
  • Blitz: 45.1% win rate (25,028 games)
  • Rapid: 41.5% win rate (4,820 games)
  • Classical: 44.4% win rate (164 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 59.6% expected score (119 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (104 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 40.8% expected score (454 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (561 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (96 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (970 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (1,576 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 43.9% expected score (308 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.3% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 43.3% expected score (1,515 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (2,927 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.9% expected score (825 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 55.5% expected score (35 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (1,982 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.1% expected score (3,681 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 42.7% expected score (1,191 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.0% expected score (50 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (2,370 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (4,188 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (1,115 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.8% expected score (33 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (2,224 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (5,473 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 44.1% expected score (778 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 42.2% expected score (24 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (2,768 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (5,620 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (448 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (1,042 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (898 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (46 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Accepted
53.1%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation
54.9%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation
55.4%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Greco Variation
52.2%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation
55.4%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System
53.6%
Continuations (2)
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation
53.0%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Borisenko-Furman Variation
49.2%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 43K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 53.5% win rate for white (6.9K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.1%) outperforms Classical (46.8%) by 5.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense has a 44.4% (90% CI: 39.2%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 236 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense has a 54.4% (90% CI: 51.9%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense has a 52.2% (90% CI: 50.7%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense has a 52.9% (90% CI: 51.8%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 5.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense has a 53.5% (90% CI: 52.5%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 6.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 7.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.6%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 8.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.6%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 8.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense has a 49.7% (90% CI: 47.9%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.8%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.4%) win rate for white (25K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense has a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.8%-53.1%) win rate for white (4.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.5%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense has a 46.8% (90% CI: 40.5%-53.2%) win rate for white (164 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.8%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense is statistically favors white with a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.