Skip to content
TrueEloPlay what wins.
Score a position

Queen's Pawn Game

48 variations · 192M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

8
7
6
5
4
3
2
a1
b
c
d
e
f
g
h
2...Nf6
Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · Overall

52.6%

45%60%
Floor52.6%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. Its best is the same figure — the band is too tight to plot.

Measured over 192M games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong opening choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 4.1 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 192M games

Rank among the families White can choose here
#18 of 56
Games in this context
192M
Best context
58.8% at 2200-2499 Classical
Worst context
45.6% at 0-999 UltraBullet
Variations measured
48
Average game length
35 moves

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

What to play from here

White · Overall
#1Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Traditional ColleBest here
1.d4 Nf6 2.Nf3 e6 3.e3 c5 4.Bd3 d5 5.c3
Floor 56.7% · 586K games
56.8%
#2Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack
1.d4 d5 2.Bg5
Floor 54.8% · 4.0M games
54.8%
#3Queen's Pawn Game: Chandler Gambit
1.d4 d5 2.Nf3 c5 3.g3 cxd4 4.Bg2
Floor 54.2% · 29K games
54.6%
#4Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan
1.d4 d5 2.Nf3 Nf6 3.g3
Floor 54.1% · 1.8M games
54.1%
#5Queen's Pawn Game: Stonewall Attack
1.d4 d5 2.e3 Nf6 3.Bd3
Floor 54.0% · 1.7M games
54.1%
#6Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System
1.d4 d5 2.Bf4
Floor 53.7% · 34M games
53.7%
#7Queen's Pawn Game: London System, with e6
1.d4 d5 2.Nf3 e6 3.Bf4
Floor 53.4% · 6.0M games
53.5%
#8Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation
1.d4 d5 2.Nf3
Floor 53.3% · 13M games
53.3%
#9Queen's Pawn Game: London System
1.d4 d5 2.Nf3 Nf6 3.Bf4
Floor 53.3% · 7.7M games
53.3%
#10Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System
1.d4 d5 2.Nf3 Nf6 3.e3
Floor 53.0% · 8.6M games
53.0%

These are the moves players actually choose from here, ranked by how they score. A higher score is a better bet on the numbers alone — familiarity and playstyle still matter.

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 48.9% at 0-999, 55.6% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.6% expected score (15,221 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (2,641,980 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (5,881,743 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (2,824,357 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 46.6% expected score (27,818 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 49.8% expected score (36,142 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (4,985,747 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (9,102,061 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (3,732,434 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.1% expected score (83,753 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.2% expected score (81,911 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (8,060,076 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (13,589,038 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (5,009,491 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 51.4% expected score (193,688 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.4% expected score (168,738 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (10,962,712 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (17,457,704 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (5,890,762 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.9% expected score (328,445 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.2% expected score (226,055 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (12,900,575 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (18,646,795 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (5,428,348 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.2% expected score (261,485 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.2% expected score (166,420 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (13,031,556 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (15,291,423 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (3,706,836 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (138,092 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.2% expected score (85,991 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (10,152,599 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (7,576,094 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (1,267,302 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.9% expected score (29,687 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 54.8% expected score (36,632 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (7,039,900 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (2,545,199 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (242,583 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 58.8% expected score (4,317 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 57.6% expected score (2,370 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (1,624,518 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (221,838 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 57.1% expected score (9,323 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 52.2% expected score (914 games)

48 variations · ranked by floor

Floor — the worst score you would still get, 90% confident.

1
Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Traditional Colle586K games
56.8%Floor 56.7%
2
Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack4.0M games
54.8%Floor 54.8%
3
Queen's Pawn Game: Chandler Gambit29K games
54.6%Floor 54.2%
Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan1.8M games
54.1%Floor 54.1%
Queen's Pawn Game: Stonewall Attack1.7M games
54.1%Floor 54.0%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System34M games
53.7%Floor 53.7%
Queen's Pawn Game: London System, with e66.0M games
53.5%Floor 53.4%
Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation13M games
53.3%Floor 53.3%
Queen's Pawn Game: London System7.7M games
53.3%Floor 53.3%
Queen's Pawn Game: Mason Attack1.9M games
53.0%Floor 53.0%
Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System8.6M games
53.0%Floor 53.0%
Queen's Pawn Game: Anti-Torre2.3M games
53.0%Floor 52.9%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation18M games
52.9%Floor 52.9%
Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation, Main Line40K games
53.1%Floor 52.7%
Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack1.6M games
52.7%Floor 52.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Shropshire Defense9.8K games
52.9%Floor 52.1%
Queen's Pawn Game55M games
52.1%Floor 52.1%
Queen's Pawn Game: Veresov Attack, Dutch System99K games
52.2%Floor 51.9%
Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation3.9M games
51.9%Floor 51.9%
Queen's Pawn Game: Barry Attack, Tarzan Attack66K games
52.1%Floor 51.8%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Shaviliuk Gambit244K games
51.9%Floor 51.8%
Queen's Pawn Game: Krause Variation2.4M games
51.9%Floor 51.8%
Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Anti-Colle1.3M games
51.8%Floor 51.7%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit2.2M games
51.7%Floor 51.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Alburt Defense1.3M games
51.5%Floor 51.5%
Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation48K games
51.9%Floor 51.5%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Anti-Veresov138K games
51.6%Floor 51.4%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense86K games
51.5%Floor 51.2%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted11K games
51.9%Floor 51.2%
Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation97K games
51.4%Floor 51.2%
Queen's Pawn Game: Modern Defense19M games
51.1%Floor 51.1%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit8.2K games
51.8%Floor 50.9%
Queen's Pawn Game: Barry Attack177K games
51.0%Floor 50.8%
Queen's Pawn Game: Liedmann Gambit218K games
50.8%Floor 50.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Zilbermints Countergambit397 games
54.6%Floor 50.5%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Irish Gambit598K games
50.5%Floor 50.4%
Queen's Pawn Game: Veresov Attack, Classical Defense902K games
50.5%Floor 50.4%
Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Gossip Variation237K games
50.6%Floor 50.4%
Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation305K games
50.3%Floor 50.2%
Queen's Pawn Game: Barry Attack, Grünfeld Variation34K games
50.6%Floor 50.2%
Queen's Pawn Game: Anglo-Slav Opening1.1M games
50.1%Floor 50.0%
Queen's Pawn Game: Veresov, Richter Attack349K games
50.0%Floor 49.9%
Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation978 games
52.5%Floor 49.9%
Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Euwe Variation, Modern Line10K games
50.3%Floor 49.5%
Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit215K games
49.2%Floor 49.0%
Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Breyer Variation5.2K games
49.9%Floor 48.8%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted165K games
47.7%Floor 47.5%
Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit35K games
39.0%Floor 38.6%
Analyze Queen's Pawn Game PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Pawn Game family scores 52.6% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 52.6% and 52.7% — from 192M Lichess games across 48 variations. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
192M+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Pawn Game win rate?

Across the Queen's Pawn Game's 48 variations, White wins 50.5%, draws 4.1% and loses 45.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.6%. It rests on 192M rated games from Lichess.

How many Queen's Pawn Game variations are there?

48 Queen's Pawn Game variations have a page of their own, each broken down by rating and by clock.

At what rating does the Queen's Pawn Game perform best?

The Queen's Pawn Game family performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 54.7% (1.9M games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read. Performance may vary by specific variation.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Queen's Pawn Game scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 52.8% in Blitz (90M games) against 52.5% in Rapid (28M games).

How sharp is the Queen's Pawn Game?

Queen's Pawn Game games are 95.9% decisive (non-draws), with an average length of 35 moves. Sharpness varies by specific variation.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game a good opening family?

The Queen's Pawn Game family is good for White overall. Across its games, White wins 50.5% and loses 45.3%. Results differ between its 48 variations, so open the one you play for its own figures.