Skip to content
TrueEloPlay what wins.
Score a position

Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit

8.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

8
7
6
5
4
3
2
a1
b
c
d
e
f
g
h
3.e4
Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

51.8%

45%60%
Floor50.9%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 52.8%.

Measured over 8.2K games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for White

Draw 3.9 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 8.2K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
8.2K
Best context
54.4% at 2000-2199 Blitz
Worst context
51.4% at 1600-1799 Blitz
Average game length
31 moves
Games that end decisively
96.1%
Draws
3.9%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +3.3% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 91.9 · Trap factor: +12.2 · 8.2K games

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 42.2% at 0-999, 54.9% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (68 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (112 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 44.1% expected score (66 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (133 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (185 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (87 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (260 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (283 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (126 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 8.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (380 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (560 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (160 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (467 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (719 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (259 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (519 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (768 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (205 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (473 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (666 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (216 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.1% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (277 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (753 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.9% expected score (95 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (83 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.1% expected score (190 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Pawn Game
50.0%
Variations (5)
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System
51.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Modern Defense
49.2%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation
50.8%
Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation
51.1%
Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System
50.8%
Analyze Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit scores 51.8% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 50.9% and 52.8% — from 8.2K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
8.2K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit win rate?

Playing the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit, White wins 49.9%, draws 3.9% and loses 46.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.8%. It rests on 8.2K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit perform best?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit performs best for White at 2200-2499, with an Expected Score of 54.2% (1.1K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 52.7% in Blitz (4.2K games) against 51.8% in Rapid (1.2K games).

How sharp is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 42.9%, draws 5.8% and loses 51.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.8%. It rests on 247 Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 47.4%, draws 2.6% and loses 50.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.7%. It rests on 409 Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 50.8%, draws 1.2% and loses 47.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.5%. It rests on 680 Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 50.0%, draws 3.3% and loses 46.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.6%. It rests on 1.1K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 49.4%, draws 2.9% and loses 47.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.9%. It rests on 1.5K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 50.2%, draws 4.4% and loses 45.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.4%. It rests on 1.5K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 49.4%, draws 4.5% and loses 46.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.6%. It rests on 1.4K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 51.5%, draws 5.3% and loses 43.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.2%. It rests on 1.1K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 52.3%, draws 8.6% and loses 39.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.6%. It rests on 273 Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 49.3%, draws 3.1% and loses 47.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.9%. It rests on 2.7K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 50.6%, draws 4.1% and loses 45.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.7%. It rests on 4.2K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 49.3%, draws 4.9% and loses 45.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.8%. It rests on 1.2K Lichess games.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit a good opening?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit is about level. Across all ratings, White wins 49.9% of its games and loses 46.3%. It performs best at 2200-2499. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.