Skip to content
TrueEloPlay what wins.
Score a position

Queen's Pawn Game: London System

7.7M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

8
7
6
5
4
3
2
a1
b
c
d
e
f
g
h
3.Bf4
Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

53.3%

45%60%
Floor53.3%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. Its best is the same figure — the band is too tight to plot.

Measured over 7.7M games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 4.8 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 7.7M games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
7.7M
Best context
58.0% at 2200-2499 Classical
Worst context
49.4% at 1400-1599 UltraBullet
Average game length
36 moves
Games that end decisively
95.2%
Draws
4.8%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It holds about the same all the way up, near 50.0%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.0% expected score (139 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (69,546 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (110,788 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (51,302 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 45.2% expected score (393 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 49.3% expected score (368 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (168,107 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (247,240 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (96,987 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 53.8% expected score (1,618 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 49.8% expected score (774 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (303,469 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (443,540 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (156,938 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.9% expected score (5,118 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 49.4% expected score (1,462 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (422,496 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (666,192 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (213,766 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.2% expected score (11,190 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 53.1% expected score (969 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (490,931 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (812,585 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (221,000 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.1% expected score (13,232 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.3% expected score (902 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (458,713 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (871,077 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (198,802 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.0% expected score (9,328 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 51.4% expected score (314 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (362,080 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (581,322 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (101,096 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (3,078 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 59.5% expected score (88 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (232,277 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (233,921 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (30,359 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 58.0% expected score (706 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (57,003 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.5% expected score (35,295 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (1,978 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (186 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Pawn Game
50.0%
Variations (5)
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System
51.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Modern Defense
49.2%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation
50.8%
Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation
51.1%
Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System
50.8%
Continuations (2)
Queen's Pawn Game: London System, with e6
51.3%
Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation
50.4%
Analyze Queen's Pawn Game: London System PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Pawn Game: London System scores 53.3% for White — we are 90% confident it is 53.3% — from 7.7M Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
7.7M+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate?

Playing the Queen's Pawn Game: London System, White wins 50.9%, draws 4.8% and loses 44.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.3%. It rests on 7.7M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Pawn Game: London System perform best?

The Queen's Pawn Game: London System performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 55.3% (94K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Queen's Pawn Game: London System scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 53.3% in Blitz (4.0M games) against 53.0% in Rapid (1.1M games).

How sharp is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System?

The Queen's Pawn Game: London System has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 51.9%, draws 3.3% and loses 44.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.6%. It rests on 232K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 52.9%, draws 3.3% and loses 43.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.5%. It rests on 514K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 52.2%, draws 3.4% and loses 44.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.9%. It rests on 910K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 51.3%, draws 3.8% and loses 45.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.2%. It rests on 1.3M Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 50.7%, draws 4.4% and loses 44.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.9%. It rests on 1.5M Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 50.3%, draws 5.3% and loses 44.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.0%. It rests on 1.5M Lichess games, which average 38 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 49.8%, draws 6.3% and loses 43.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.0%. It rests on 1.0M Lichess games, which average 39 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 50.2%, draws 7.1% and loses 42.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.8%. It rests on 497K Lichess games, which average 41 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 46.9%, draws 16.7% and loses 36.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.3%. It rests on 94K Lichess games, which average 45 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, White wins 50.5%, draws 1.7% and loses 47.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.4%. It rests on 5.0K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 51.7%, draws 3.6% and loses 44.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.5%. It rests on 2.6M Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 50.6%, draws 5.4% and loses 44.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.3%. It rests on 4.0M Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 50.2%, draws 5.6% and loses 44.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.0%. It rests on 1.1M Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 48.6%, draws 7.3% and loses 44.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.2%. It rests on 45K Lichess games.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System a good opening?

The Queen's Pawn Game: London System is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 50.9% of its games and loses 44.3%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.