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Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted

11K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score48.1%Range (90% confident): 47.3% – 48.9%Based on 11K games
0%48.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.3% – 48.9%
Outcome Distribution
46.0%4.3%49.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...dxe4
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted
Analyzen=11K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted has a 48.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.3% and 48.9%), based on 11K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 39%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.8% win rate (268 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.3% win rate (365 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.4% win rate (640 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.7% win rate (1,073 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.5% win rate (1,528 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.7% win rate (1,970 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.1% win rate (2,303 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.3% win rate (2,242 games)
  • 2500+: 38.7% win rate (509 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Blitz (45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (11 games)
  • Bullet: 47.9% win rate (2,018 games)
  • Blitz: 45.2% win rate (6,714 games)
  • Rapid: 46.5% win rate (2,102 games)
  • Classical: 46.8% win rate (53 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (70 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (133 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (64 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (96 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (194 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (73 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (194 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (310 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (129 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 59.0% expected score (261 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (610 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.5% expected score (191 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (304 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (880 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (330 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (378 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (1,185 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (395 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (316 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (1,362 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (610 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 37.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 41.8% expected score (314 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (1,618 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (308 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.6% expected score (85 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 41.5% expected score (422 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Pawn Game
50.0%
Variations (5)
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System
51.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Modern Defense
49.2%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation
50.8%
Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation
51.1%
Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System
50.8%
Analyze Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted win rate?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 11K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted perform best?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 54.9% win rate for white (509 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (50.1%) outperforms Classical (45.0%) by 5.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted has a 44.3% (90% CI: 39.4%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 268 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted has a 44.9% (90% CI: 40.6%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 365 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted has a 50.3% (90% CI: 47.0%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 640 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted has a 45.4% (90% CI: 42.9%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted has a 50.7% (90% CI: 48.6%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted has a 49.5% (90% CI: 47.6%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.4%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted has a 51.2% (90% CI: 49.5%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted has a 54.9% (90% CI: 51.3%-58.6%) win rate for white, based on 509 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted has a 49.5% (90% CI: 47.7%-51.3%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.1%-51.1%) win rate for white (6.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.2%-50.8%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted a good opening?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted is statistically balanced with a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.