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Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense

86K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score48.5%Range (90% confident): 48.3% – 48.8%Based on 86K games
0%48.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.3% – 48.8%
Outcome Distribution
46.5%3.9%49.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...d5
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense
Analyzen=86K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense has a 48.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.3% and 48.8%), based on 86K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 11.1% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 50% → 44%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.8% win rate (5,601 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.0% win rate (9,427 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.1% win rate (13,992 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.6% win rate (17,504 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.1% win rate (17,702 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.2% win rate (11,473 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.9% win rate (5,646 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.8% win rate (3,777 games)
  • 2500+: 43.9% win rate (1,329 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (50%), worst in UltraBullet (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 43.2% win rate (324 games)
  • Bullet: 46.7% win rate (27,933 games)
  • Blitz: 46.0% win rate (43,710 games)
  • Rapid: 47.8% win rate (13,953 games)
  • Classical: 49.9% win rate (531 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (1,290 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (3,245 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (1,055 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 74.2% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (2,456 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (5,161 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (1,765 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 59.0% expected score (32 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 46.7% expected score (28 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (3,606 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (7,526 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (2,718 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 44.0% expected score (114 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 49.2% expected score (57 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (4,409 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (9,608 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (3,259 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 58.1% expected score (171 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 38.2% expected score (62 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (4,800 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (9,493 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (3,195 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.2% expected score (152 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 40.7% expected score (95 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (4,276 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (5,523 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (1,534 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.9% expected score (45 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 45.1% expected score (29 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (3,110 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (2,124 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (373 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 43.7% expected score (30 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (2,737 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.6% expected score (954 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 33.8% expected score (54 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (1,249 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 36.5% expected score (76 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Pawn Game
50.0%
Variations (5)
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System
51.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Modern Defense
49.2%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation
50.8%
Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation
51.1%
Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System
50.8%
Analyze Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense win rate?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 86K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense perform best?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 51.5% win rate for white (5.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.4%) outperforms Classical (43.1%) by 7.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense has a 46.7% (90% CI: 45.6%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.4%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 9.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.4%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense has a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.3%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense has a 50.2% (90% CI: 47.9%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense has a 54.2% (90% CI: 49.7%-58.7%) win rate for white (324 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.9%) win rate for white (28K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.0%) win rate for white (44K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.8%-48.1%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense has a 43.1% (90% CI: 39.6%-46.6%) win rate for white (531 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.0%.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense a good opening?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense is statistically balanced with a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.