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Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation

48K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

48.1%

40%55%
Floor47.8%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 48.5%.

Measured over 48K games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 3.8 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 48K games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
48K
Best context
53.6% at 1600-1799 UltraBullet
Worst context
45.2% at 1000-1199 Blitz
Average game length
33 moves
Games that end decisively
96.2%
Draws
3.8%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 43.6% at 0-999, 45.9% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 32.1% expected score (18 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 42.9% expected score (392 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (1,323 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (2,920 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 49.0% expected score (47 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 41.8% expected score (29 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 41.9% expected score (376 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (546 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 42.1% expected score (455 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 44.6% expected score (45 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 43.6% expected score (53 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (802 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (1,426 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (423 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 44.1% expected score (66 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 48.2% expected score (274 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (2,261 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (2,611 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (661 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (44 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 53.6% expected score (534 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (5,271 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (4,715 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (759 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.1% expected score (24 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.0% expected score (398 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (7,658 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (4,323 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (558 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 76.1% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 43.4% expected score (89 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (4,892 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (1,384 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 42.3% expected score (128 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 60.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.8% expected score (1,745 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (274 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (12 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.9% expected score (145 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (47 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Pawn Game
50.0%
Variations (5)
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System
51.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Modern Defense
49.2%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation
50.8%
Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation
51.1%
Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System
50.8%
Analyze Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation scores 48.1% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 47.8% and 48.5% — from 48K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
48K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation win rate?

Playing the Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation, Black wins 46.2%, draws 3.8% and loses 50.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.1%. It rests on 48K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation perform best?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation performs best for Black at 1600-1799, with an Expected Score of 50.1% (11K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 47.5% in Blitz (17K games) against 47.1% in Rapid (5.9K games).

How sharp is the Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, Black wins 42.3%, draws 9.2% and loses 48.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.9%. It rests on 4.7K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 40.7%, draws 5.2% and loses 54.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.3%. It rests on 1.5K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 44.4%, draws 3.1% and loses 52.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.9%. It rests on 2.8K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 46.8%, draws 2.4% and loses 50.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.0%. It rests on 5.9K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 48.7%, draws 2.7% and loses 48.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.1%. It rests on 11K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 46.7%, draws 3.3% and loses 50.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.4%. It rests on 13K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 46.1%, draws 3.8% and loses 50.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.0%. It rests on 6.5K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 44.0%, draws 5.2% and loses 50.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.6%. It rests on 2.0K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, Black wins 41.6%, draws 7.5% and loses 50.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.4%. It rests on 192 Lichess games, which average 40 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, Black wins 47.4%, draws 2.4% and loses 50.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.6%. It rests on 1.4K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 47.5%, draws 2.7% and loses 49.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.9%. It rests on 24K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 45.5%, draws 4.0% and loses 50.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.5%. It rests on 17K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 43.1%, draws 8.0% and loses 49.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.1%. It rests on 5.9K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical, Black wins 44.4%, draws 4.4% and loses 51.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.6%. It rests on 236 Lichess games.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 46.2% of its games and loses 50.0%. It performs best at 1600-1799. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.