Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation
97K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds
48.6%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 48.9%.
Measured over 97K games at this level and clock.
Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 4.5 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 97K games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 97K
- Best context
- 53.4% at 0-999 Blitz
- Worst context
- 43.6% at 2500+ Bullet
- Average game length
- 37 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 95.5%
- Draws
- 4.5%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 55.0% at 0-999, 40.0% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (326 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (614 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (223 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (915 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (1,326 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (385 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 28.8% expected score (22 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (2,196 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (2,533 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (709 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 58.8% expected score (27 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 52.8% expected score (143 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (4,855 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (4,841 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (995 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.7% expected score (36 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 49.4% expected score (171 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (8,474 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (8,555 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (1,358 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 39.5% expected score (51 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.4% expected score (276 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (12,272 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (10,304 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (1,477 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (44 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 45.1% expected score (233 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (12,845 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (6,195 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (809 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.3% expected score (16 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 44.9% expected score (37 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (9,396 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (1,748 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 43.6% expected score (199 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 42.3% expected score (5 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.6% expected score (1,911 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 42.1% expected score (119 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 34.2% expected score (8 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation scores 48.6% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 48.4% and 48.9% — from 97K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 97K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation win rate?
Playing the Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation, Black wins 46.4%, draws 4.5% and loses 49.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.6%. It rests on 97K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation perform best?
The Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation performs best for Black at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 53.0% (1.2K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 48.1% in Blitz (36K games) against 48.9% in Rapid (6.2K games).
How sharp is the Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation?
The Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, Black wins 51.0%, draws 4.0% and loses 45.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.0%. It rests on 1.2K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, Black wins 49.0%, draws 3.5% and loses 47.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.8%. It rests on 2.6K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, Black wins 47.9%, draws 3.1% and loses 49.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.4%. It rests on 5.5K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, Black wins 47.9%, draws 3.1% and loses 48.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.5%. It rests on 11K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, Black wins 47.4%, draws 4.2% and loses 48.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.5%. It rests on 19K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, Black wins 46.2%, draws 4.7% and loses 49.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.5%. It rests on 24K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, Black wins 45.4%, draws 4.9% and loses 49.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.9%. It rests on 20K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, Black wins 44.7%, draws 5.4% and loses 49.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.5%. It rests on 11K Lichess games, which average 40 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, Black wins 39.4%, draws 8.1% and loses 52.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.5%. It rests on 2.0K Lichess games, which average 44 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation win rate in UltraBullet?
In UltraBullet, Black wins 47.1%, draws 2.9% and loses 50.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.6%. It rests on 891 Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, Black wins 47.1%, draws 3.7% and loses 49.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.0%. It rests on 53K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, Black wins 45.4%, draws 5.4% and loses 49.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.1%. It rests on 36K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, Black wins 45.9%, draws 5.9% and loses 48.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.9%. It rests on 6.2K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation win rate in Classical?
In Classical, Black wins 44.6%, draws 9.2% and loses 46.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.2%. It rests on 188 Lichess games.
Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation a good opening?
The Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation is about level. Across all ratings, Black wins 46.4% of its games and loses 49.2%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.