Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit
215K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
49.2%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 49.3%.
Measured over 215K games at this level and clock.
Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.
Outcomes for White
Draw 3.8 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 215K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 215K
- Best context
- 52.4% at 1000-1199 Bullet
- Worst context
- 42.6% at 1400-1599 UltraBullet
- Average game length
- 31 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 96.2%
- Draws
- 3.8%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 45.2% at 0-999, 52.3% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 32.6% expected score (10 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (2,310 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (10,278 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (8,595 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 46.1% expected score (89 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.3% expected score (34 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (2,686 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (6,619 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (4,967 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 47.7% expected score (236 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 47.6% expected score (103 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (4,761 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (8,415 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (4,505 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 49.6% expected score (224 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 42.6% expected score (590 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (7,442 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (11,996 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (5,339 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 47.8% expected score (271 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 47.0% expected score (933 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (11,263 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (13,275 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (6,079 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.4% expected score (312 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 48.6% expected score (450 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (15,171 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (16,368 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (4,882 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 39.1% expected score (233 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 53.4% expected score (329 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (16,742 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (16,197 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 44.9% expected score (2,627 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (106 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 54.1% expected score (96 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (17,568 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (6,726 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (776 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (4,859 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (870 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit scores 49.2% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 49.0% and 49.3% — from 215K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 215K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit win rate?
Playing the Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit, White wins 47.3%, draws 3.8% and loses 49.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.2%. It rests on 215K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit perform best?
The Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit performs best for White at 1200-1399, with an Expected Score of 50.9% (18K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 48.9% in Blitz (91K games) against 48.6% in Rapid (38K games).
How sharp is the Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit?
The Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, White wins 46.7%, draws 4.4% and loses 48.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.9%. It rests on 21K Lichess games, which average 27 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, White wins 49.0%, draws 3.6% and loses 47.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.9%. It rests on 15K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 49.5%, draws 2.7% and loses 47.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.9%. It rests on 18K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 48.3%, draws 2.7% and loses 49.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.7%. It rests on 26K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 48.1%, draws 3.2% and loses 48.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.7%. It rests on 32K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 46.9%, draws 3.7% and loses 49.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.7%. It rests on 37K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 45.5%, draws 4.2% and loses 50.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.7%. It rests on 36K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 46.4%, draws 4.9% and loses 48.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.9%. It rests on 25K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, White wins 45.7%, draws 5.8% and loses 48.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.6%. It rests on 5.8K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?
In UltraBullet, White wins 45.9%, draws 2.2% and loses 51.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.1%. It rests on 2.6K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 48.4%, draws 3.0% and loses 48.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.9%. It rests on 83K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 46.8%, draws 4.2% and loses 49.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.9%. It rests on 91K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 46.3%, draws 4.5% and loses 49.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.6%. It rests on 38K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit win rate in Classical?
In Classical, White wins 43.8%, draws 4.7% and loses 51.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.2%. It rests on 1.5K Lichess games.
Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit a good opening?
The Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit is about level. Across all ratings, White wins 47.3% of its games and loses 49.0%. It performs best at 1200-1399. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.