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Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation

305K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.7%Range (90% confident): 49.6% – 49.9%Based on 305K games
0%49.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.6% – 49.9%
Outcome Distribution
47.4%4.7%48.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Bg7
Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation
Analyzen=305K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.7%

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation has a 49.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.6% and 49.9%), based on 305K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 51% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.9% win rate (7,430 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.6% win rate (18,186 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.5% win rate (33,697 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.1% win rate (52,100 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.7% win rate (66,997 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.8% win rate (64,126 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.2% win rate (38,401 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.8% win rate (19,860 games)
  • 2500+: 42.5% win rate (3,909 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~50%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 49.7% win rate (874 games)
  • Bullet: 47.5% win rate (118,804 games)
  • Blitz: 47.0% win rate (144,550 games)
  • Rapid: 48.0% win rate (38,805 games)
  • Classical: 49.8% win rate (1,673 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (2,087 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (4,105 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (1,219 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 79.5% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.4% expected score (36 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (5,817 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (9,179 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (3,121 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 52.9% expected score (33 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 58.8% expected score (106 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (11,269 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (16,717 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (5,382 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 62.0% expected score (223 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 52.0% expected score (198 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (17,033 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (26,387 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (8,070 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.5% expected score (412 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.4% expected score (257 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (21,614 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (35,819 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (8,859 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.9% expected score (448 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 48.3% expected score (171 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (23,659 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (31,725 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (8,149 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.3% expected score (422 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.2% expected score (77 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (18,995 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (15,959 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (3,259 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (111 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 39.2% expected score (17 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (14,641 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (4,456 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (730 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (3,689 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.4% expected score (203 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Pawn Game
50.0%
Variations (5)
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System
51.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Modern Defense
49.2%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation
50.8%
Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation
51.1%
Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System
50.8%
Analyze Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 305K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation perform best?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 50.3% win rate for white (3.9K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.8%) outperforms Classical (43.9%) by 4.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation has a sharpness score of 95.3 (very decisive), meaning 95.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation has a 45.5% (90% CI: 44.6%-46.5%) win rate for white, based on 7.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 34K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 52K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 67K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 64K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 38K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 48.9%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 44.8%-50.4%) win rate for white (874 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.0%) win rate for white (119K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.0%) win rate for white (145K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.9%-46.7%) win rate for white (39K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation has a 43.9% (90% CI: 41.9%-45.9%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation a good opening?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation is statistically balanced with a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.