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Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation

305K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

49.7%

45%55%
Floor49.6%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 49.9%.

Measured over 305K games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 4.7 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 305K games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
305K
Best context
53.7% at 0-999 Rapid
Worst context
46.4% at 2500+ Bullet
Average game length
36 moves
Games that end decisively
95.3%
Draws
4.7%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 59.0% at 0-999, 47.5% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (2,087 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (4,105 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (1,219 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 79.5% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.4% expected score (36 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (5,817 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (9,179 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (3,121 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 52.9% expected score (33 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 58.8% expected score (106 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (11,269 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (16,717 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (5,382 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 62.0% expected score (223 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 52.0% expected score (198 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (17,033 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (26,387 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (8,070 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.5% expected score (412 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.4% expected score (257 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (21,614 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (35,819 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (8,859 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.9% expected score (448 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 48.3% expected score (171 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (23,659 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (31,725 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (8,149 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.3% expected score (422 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.2% expected score (77 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (18,995 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (15,959 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (3,259 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (111 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 39.2% expected score (17 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (14,641 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (4,456 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (730 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (3,689 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.4% expected score (203 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Pawn Game
50.0%
Variations (5)
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System
51.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Modern Defense
49.2%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation
50.8%
Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation
51.1%
Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System
50.8%
Analyze Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation scores 49.7% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 49.6% and 49.9% — from 305K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
305K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate?

Playing the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation, Black wins 47.4%, draws 4.7% and loses 48.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.7%. It rests on 305K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation perform best?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation performs best for Black at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 52.7% (7.4K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 49.6% in Blitz (145K games) against 50.9% in Rapid (39K games).

How sharp is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation has a sharpness score of 95.3 (very decisive), meaning 95.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, Black wins 50.9%, draws 3.5% and loses 45.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.7%. It rests on 7.4K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 48.6%, draws 3.5% and loses 47.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.4%. It rests on 18K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 48.5%, draws 3.5% and loses 48.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.3%. It rests on 34K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 48.1%, draws 3.9% and loses 48.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.1%. It rests on 52K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 47.7%, draws 4.4% and loses 47.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.9%. It rests on 67K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 46.8%, draws 5.3% and loses 47.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.5%. It rests on 64K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 46.2%, draws 6.0% and loses 47.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.2%. It rests on 38K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 44.8%, draws 6.3% and loses 48.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.0%. It rests on 20K Lichess games, which average 40 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, Black wins 42.5%, draws 7.2% and loses 50.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.1%. It rests on 3.9K Lichess games, which average 43 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, Black wins 49.7%, draws 2.7% and loses 47.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.1%. It rests on 874 Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 47.5%, draws 3.7% and loses 48.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.4%. It rests on 119K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 47.0%, draws 5.2% and loses 47.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.6%. It rests on 145K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 48.0%, draws 5.7% and loses 46.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.9%. It rests on 39K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation win rate in Classical?

In Classical, Black wins 49.8%, draws 6.4% and loses 43.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.0%. It rests on 1.7K Lichess games.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation a good opening?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation is about level. Across all ratings, Black wins 47.4% of its games and loses 48.0%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.