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Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation

978 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.5%Range (90% confident): 44.9% – 50.1%Based on 978 games
0%47.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 44.9% – 50.1%
Outcome Distribution
45.4%4.2%50.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Qa5+
Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation
Analyzen=978
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.2%

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation has a 47.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 44.9% and 50.1%), based on 978 Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 68% → 28%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 68.4% win rate (8 games)
  • 1000-1199: 58.1% win rate (51 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.4% win rate (128 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.8% win rate (223 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.1% win rate (256 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.6% win rate (170 games)
  • 2000-2199: 34.1% win rate (91 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.0% win rate (40 games)
  • 2500+: 28.0% win rate (11 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (56%), worst in Rapid (44%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 46.0% win rate (291 games)
  • Blitz: 45.4% win rate (535 games)
  • Rapid: 43.5% win rate (149 games)
  • Classical: 55.6% win rate (3 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999——
2000-2199——
2200-2499———
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 72.3% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (33 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (28 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (71 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (29 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 43.1% expected score (42 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (138 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (42 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (50 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (156 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (52 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.1% expected score (100 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 32.1% expected score (18 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 36.4% expected score (61 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.1% expected score (24 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (35 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 37.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Pawn Game
50.0%
Variations (5)
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System
51.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Modern Defense
49.2%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation
50.8%
Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation
51.1%
Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System
50.8%
Analyze Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation win rate?

The Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 47.8%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 978 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation perform best?

The Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 57.8% win rate for white (91 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (53.5%) outperforms Blitz (49.3%) by 4.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation?

The Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation has a 43.6% (90% CI: 36.5%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 128 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 46.4%-57.4%) win rate for white, based on 223 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 45.6%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 256 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 45.3%-57.9%) win rate for white, based on 170 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 46.0%-55.6%) win rate for white (291 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 45.8%-52.9%) win rate for white (535 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 46.8%-60.1%) win rate for white (149 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation is statistically balanced with a 50.4% (90% CI: 47.8%-53.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.