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Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted

165K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

47.7%

40%55%
Floor47.5%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 47.9%.

Measured over 165K games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

White comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.

Outcomes for White

Draw 3.5 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 165K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
165K
Best context
54.4% at 2200-2499 Blitz
Worst context
45.5% at 2000-2199 Rapid
Average game length
31 moves
Games that end decisively
96.5%
Draws
3.5%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 43.1% at 0-999, 56.8% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.3% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (2,962 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (5,421 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (2,290 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (5,067 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (11,105 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (4,428 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 46.9% expected score (46 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 27.6% expected score (23 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (6,643 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (17,035 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (7,182 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 38.3% expected score (190 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 55.7% expected score (25 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (7,003 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (20,115 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (9,921 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 43.5% expected score (419 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 53.3% expected score (14 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (5,785 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (17,712 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (9,026 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 39.8% expected score (295 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (4,627 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (10,232 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.5% expected score (5,057 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (188 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (1,853 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (4,177 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.5% expected score (1,507 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.5% expected score (37 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (827 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (2,635 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (209 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (542 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 60.4% expected score (358 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (21 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Pawn Game
50.0%
Variations (5)
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System
51.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Modern Defense
49.2%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation
50.8%
Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation
51.1%
Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System
50.8%
Analyze Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted scores 47.7% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 47.5% and 47.9% — from 165K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
165K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted win rate?

Playing the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted, White wins 45.9%, draws 3.5% and loses 50.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.7%. It rests on 165K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted perform best?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 56.2% (921 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 48.0% in Blitz (89K games) against 46.9% in Rapid (40K games).

How sharp is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 45.7%, draws 2.8% and loses 51.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.1%. It rests on 11K Lichess games, which average 25 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 46.5%, draws 2.7% and loses 50.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.9%. It rests on 21K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 46.2%, draws 2.9% and loses 50.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.7%. It rests on 31K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 45.8%, draws 3.1% and loses 51.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.4%. It rests on 37K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 45.6%, draws 3.7% and loses 50.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.4%. It rests on 33K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 45.1%, draws 4.1% and loses 50.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.2%. It rests on 20K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 45.5%, draws 4.9% and loses 49.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.0%. It rests on 7.6K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 49.4%, draws 5.9% and loses 44.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.4%. It rests on 3.7K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 40.3%, draws 31.7% and loses 28.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.2%. It rests on 921 Lichess games, which average 40 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 46.2%, draws 2.7% and loses 51.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.6%. It rests on 35K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 46.2%, draws 3.6% and loses 50.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.0%. It rests on 89K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 44.8%, draws 4.1% and loses 51.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.9%. It rests on 40K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 39.6%, draws 5.6% and loses 54.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.4%. It rests on 1.2K Lichess games.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted a good opening?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted is hard work for White — it favours Black. Across all ratings, White wins 45.9% of its games and loses 50.6%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.