Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan
1.8M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
54.1%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. Its best is the same figure — the band is too tight to plot.
Measured over 1.8M games at this level and clock.
A strong choice for White at this level and clock.
Outcomes for White
Draw 5.5 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 1.8M games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 1.8M
- Best context
- 60.2% at 2500+ Rapid
- Worst context
- 49.5% at 1400-1599 UltraBullet
- Average game length
- 37 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 94.5%
- Draws
- 5.5%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 53.0% at 0-999, 50.9% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 47.1% expected score (32 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (7,480 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (15,582 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (6,947 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 59.8% expected score (60 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 59.6% expected score (134 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (22,309 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (31,663 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (12,942 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 55.5% expected score (318 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 48.5% expected score (296 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (43,256 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (55,190 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (21,898 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.1% expected score (815 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 49.5% expected score (543 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (69,112 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (103,930 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (31,473 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.5% expected score (2,073 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 53.1% expected score (983 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (108,867 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (161,937 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (40,967 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.6% expected score (2,517 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 51.3% expected score (928 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (122,728 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (227,045 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (53,057 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.2% expected score (2,813 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 57.3% expected score (512 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (145,842 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (197,067 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (34,471 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.7% expected score (1,295 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 57.5% expected score (113 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (139,442 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (98,478 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.8% expected score (10,920 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 56.4% expected score (325 games)
- 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (40,299 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (8,363 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 60.2% expected score (509 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 53.0% expected score (32 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan scores 54.1% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 54.1% and 54.2% — from 1.8M Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 1.8M+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan win rate?
Playing the Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan, White wins 51.3%, draws 5.5% and loses 43.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.1%. It rests on 1.8M rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan perform best?
The Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 55.6% (49K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 53.8% in Blitz (899K games) against 53.1% in Rapid (213K games).
How sharp is the Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan?
The Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan has a sharpness score of 94.5 (decisive), meaning 94.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, White wins 50.8%, draws 4.0% and loses 45.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.8%. It rests on 30K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, White wins 52.3%, draws 3.6% and loses 44.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.1%. It rests on 67K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 52.0%, draws 3.5% and loses 44.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.8%. It rests on 121K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 52.0%, draws 3.9% and loses 44.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.0%. It rests on 207K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 51.5%, draws 4.6% and loses 44.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.8%. It rests on 315K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 50.9%, draws 5.5% and loses 43.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.7%. It rests on 407K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 51.0%, draws 6.3% and loses 42.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.2%. It rests on 379K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 51.4%, draws 7.3% and loses 41.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.1%. It rests on 249K Lichess games, which average 41 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, White wins 49.9%, draws 11.4% and loses 38.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.6%. It rests on 49K Lichess games, which average 45 moves.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan win rate in UltraBullet?
In UltraBullet, White wins 51.2%, draws 2.8% and loses 46.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.6%. It rests on 3.5K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 52.7%, draws 4.3% and loses 43.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.9%. It rests on 699K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 50.7%, draws 6.2% and loses 43.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.8%. It rests on 899K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 49.8%, draws 6.6% and loses 43.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.1%. It rests on 213K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan win rate in Classical?
In Classical, White wins 48.8%, draws 8.6% and loses 42.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.1%. It rests on 10K Lichess games.
Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan a good opening?
The Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 51.3% of its games and loses 43.2%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.