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Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit

2.2M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score48.4%Range (90% confident): 48.3% – 48.4%Based on 2.2M games
0%48.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.3% – 48.4%
Outcome Distribution
46.3%4.1%49.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...c5
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit
Analyzen=2.2M
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit has a 48.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.3% and 48.4%), based on 2.2M Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +0.7% · Breakpoint: 0-999

How to Beat This (Move 3)

Best: 3...h5 · Black wins: 48.1% · n=1.3M

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 48% → 38%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.6% win rate (47,176 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.7% win rate (138,016 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.5% win rate (278,995 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.8% win rate (415,287 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.5% win rate (470,594 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.3% win rate (423,135 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.0% win rate (257,410 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.4% win rate (125,428 games)
  • 2500+: 38.0% win rate (21,107 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 46.8% win rate (1,881 games)
  • Bullet: 46.7% win rate (705,463 games)
  • Blitz: 46.0% win rate (1,127,687 games)
  • Rapid: 46.6% win rate (330,597 games)
  • Classical: 47.6% win rate (11,520 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 35.7% expected score (72 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (19,071 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (21,484 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (6,499 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 56.8% expected score (50 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 57.4% expected score (203 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (53,722 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (64,900 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (18,978 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 52.3% expected score (213 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 48.9% expected score (317 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (96,810 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (138,023 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (42,870 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 53.7% expected score (975 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.8% expected score (512 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (130,204 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (210,921 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (70,951 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 52.2% expected score (2,699 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 45.3% expected score (470 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (140,976 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (245,631 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (80,002 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.9% expected score (3,515 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (220 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (122,486 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (230,006 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (67,451 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.8% expected score (2,972 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.6% expected score (73 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (81,232 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (141,434 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (33,756 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 46.2% expected score (915 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (49,083 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (66,464 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (9,704 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 42.1% expected score (164 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (11,879 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (8,824 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 45.9% expected score (386 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 31.1% expected score (17 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Pawn Game
50.0%
Variations (5)
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System
51.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Modern Defense
49.2%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation
50.8%
Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation
51.1%
Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System
50.8%
Continuations (2)
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted
49.8%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit
49.9%
Analyze Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit win rate?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.6%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.2M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit perform best?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 50.7% win rate for white (138K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.4%) outperforms Classical (45.6%) by 4.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 47K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 138K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 279K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 415K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.6%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 471K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 423K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.4%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 257K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 125K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit has a 46.5% (90% CI: 45.9%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 15.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit has a 51.8% (90% CI: 49.9%-53.7%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.3%-50.5%) win rate for white (705K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.4%-49.5%) win rate for white (1.1M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.8%) win rate for white (331K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit has a 45.6% (90% CI: 44.9%-46.4%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.8%.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit a good opening?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit is statistically balanced with a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.6%-49.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.