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Queen's Pawn Game

48 variations · 192M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Key Finding

Queen's Pawn Game gives White a 52.6% expected score — a strong opening choice.

With a minimum advantage of 5.2%, this opening reliably outperforms the baseline 50% expected score.

You play
Play This
Rating
Time
White Expected Score0.0%Range (90% confident): 52.6% – 52.7%Aggregated from 48 variations
0%52.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.6% – 52.7%
ContextOverall · n=192M
Outcome Distribution
50.5%4.1%45.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...Nf6
Queen's Pawn Game
Variations48
Games (Context)192M
Avg Length35 moves
Draw Rate4.1%

What Should I Play?

Player-controlled continuations for White · Overall

#1Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Traditional ColleTop Pick
1.d4 Nf6 2.Nf3 e6 3.e3 c5 4.Bd3 d5 5.c3
Min adv +13.3% · n=586K
56.8%
#2Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack
1.d4 d5 2.Bg5
Min adv +9.6% · n=4.0M
54.8%
#3Queen's Pawn Game: Chandler Gambit
1.d4 d5 2.Nf3 c5 3.g3 cxd4 4.Bg2
Min adv +8.4% · n=29K
54.6%
#4Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan
1.d4 d5 2.Nf3 Nf6 3.g3
Min adv +8.1% · n=1.8M
54.1%
#5Queen's Pawn Game: Stonewall Attack
1.d4 d5 2.e3 Nf6 3.Bd3
Min adv +7.9% · n=1.7M
54.1%
#6Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System
1.d4 d5 2.Bf4
Min adv +7.4% · n=34M
53.7%
#7Queen's Pawn Game: London System, with e6
1.d4 d5 2.Nf3 e6 3.Bf4
Min adv +6.8% · n=6.0M
53.5%
#8Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation
1.d4 d5 2.Nf3
Min adv +6.6% · n=13M
53.3%
#9Queen's Pawn Game: London System
1.d4 d5 2.Nf3 Nf6 3.Bf4
Min adv +6.5% · n=7.7M
53.3%
#10Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System
1.d4 d5 2.Nf3 Nf6 3.e3
Min adv +5.9% · n=8.6M
53.0%

Continuations show the most common variations from this opening. Higher expected scores indicate better statistical outcomes, but familiarity and playstyle matter too.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game expected score for White?

Snapshot

Overall, the Queen's Pawn Game family has a 52.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.6% and 52.7%), aggregated from 48 variations and 192M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~49%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.7% win rate (11,391,119 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.9% win rate (17,940,137 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.0% win rate (26,934,204 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.6% win rate (34,808,361 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.5% win rate (37,463,258 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.4% win rate (32,334,327 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.6% win rate (19,111,673 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.8% win rate (9,868,631 games)
  • 2500+: 50.6% win rate (1,858,963 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.2% win rate (819,480 games)
  • Bullet: 51.0% win rate (71,399,663 games)
  • Blitz: 50.4% win rate (90,311,895 games)
  • Rapid: 49.9% win rate (28,111,436 games)
  • Classical: 49.0% win rate (1,068,199 games)

Rating vs Time Control Matrix

Click cells to filter · White expected scores

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.6% expected score (15,221 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (2,641,980 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (5,881,743 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (2,824,357 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 46.6% expected score (27,818 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 49.8% expected score (36,142 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (4,985,747 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (9,102,061 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (3,732,434 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.1% expected score (83,753 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.2% expected score (81,911 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (8,060,076 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (13,589,038 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (5,009,491 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 51.4% expected score (193,688 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.4% expected score (168,738 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (10,962,712 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (17,457,704 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (5,890,762 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.9% expected score (328,445 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.2% expected score (226,055 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (12,900,575 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (18,646,795 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (5,428,348 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.2% expected score (261,485 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.2% expected score (166,420 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (13,031,556 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (15,291,423 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (3,706,836 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (138,092 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.2% expected score (85,991 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (10,152,599 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (7,576,094 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (1,267,302 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.9% expected score (29,687 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 54.8% expected score (36,632 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (7,039,900 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (2,545,199 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (242,583 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 58.8% expected score (4,317 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 57.6% expected score (2,370 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (1,624,518 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (221,838 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 57.1% expected score (9,323 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 52.2% expected score (914 games)

Matrix view reveals how performance varies across rating brackets and time controls. Green indicates favorable, red indicates challenging contexts.

Variations (48)

1
Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Traditional Colle586K games
56.8%
2
Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack4.0M games
54.8%
3
Queen's Pawn Game: Chandler Gambit29K games
54.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation, Pseudo-Catalan1.8M games
54.1%
Queen's Pawn Game: Stonewall Attack1.7M games
54.1%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System34M games
53.7%
Queen's Pawn Game: London System, with e66.0M games
53.5%
Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Variation13M games
53.3%
Queen's Pawn Game: London System7.7M games
53.3%
Queen's Pawn Game: Mason Attack1.9M games
53.0%
Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System8.6M games
53.0%
Queen's Pawn Game: Anti-Torre2.3M games
53.0%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation18M games
52.9%
Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation, Main Line40K games
53.1%
Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack1.6M games
52.7%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Shropshire Defense9.8K games
52.9%
Queen's Pawn Game55M games
52.1%
Queen's Pawn Game: Veresov Attack, Dutch System99K games
52.2%
Queen's Pawn Game: Symmetrical Variation3.9M games
51.9%
Queen's Pawn Game: Barry Attack, Tarzan Attack66K games
52.1%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Shaviliuk Gambit244K games
51.9%
Queen's Pawn Game: Krause Variation2.4M games
51.9%
Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Anti-Colle1.3M games
51.8%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit2.2M games
51.7%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Alburt Defense1.3M games
51.5%
Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Welling Variation48K games
51.9%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Anti-Veresov138K games
51.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense86K games
51.5%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted11K games
51.9%
Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Grünfeld Variation97K games
51.4%
Queen's Pawn Game: Modern Defense19M games
51.1%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit8.2K games
51.8%
Queen's Pawn Game: Barry Attack177K games
51.0%
Queen's Pawn Game: Liedmann Gambit218K games
50.8%
Queen's Pawn Game: Zilbermints Countergambit397 games
54.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Irish Gambit598K games
50.5%
Queen's Pawn Game: Veresov Attack, Classical Defense902K games
50.5%
Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Gossip Variation237K games
50.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Colle System, Grünfeld Formation305K games
50.3%
Queen's Pawn Game: Barry Attack, Grünfeld Variation34K games
50.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Anglo-Slav Opening1.1M games
50.1%
Queen's Pawn Game: Veresov, Richter Attack349K games
50.0%
Queen's Pawn Game: London System, Pterodactyl Variation978 games
52.5%
Queen's Pawn Game: Levitsky Attack, Euwe Variation, Modern Line10K games
50.3%
Queen's Pawn Game: Hübsch Gambit215K games
49.2%
Queen's Pawn Game: Torre Attack, Breyer Variation5.2K games
49.9%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted165K games
47.7%
Queen's Pawn Game: Zurich Gambit35K games
39.0%
Analyze Queen's Pawn Game PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Pawn Game win rate?

The Queen's Pawn Game family has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.6%) win rate for white, aggregated from 48 variations and 192M rated games from Lichess.

How many Queen's Pawn Game variations are there?

This analysis covers 48 Queen's Pawn Game variations with sufficient game data. Each variation has its own statistics page with detailed win rates by rating and time control.

At what rating does the Queen's Pawn Game perform best?

The Queen's Pawn Game family performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 51.0% win rate for white (27M games). Performance may vary by specific variation.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (51.2%) outperforms Classical (49.0%) by 2.2% across all Queen's Pawn Game variations.

How sharp is the Queen's Pawn Game?

Queen's Pawn Game games are 95.9% decisive (non-draws), with an average length of 35 moves. Sharpness varies by specific variation.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game a good opening family?

The Queen's Pawn Game family is statistically favors white overall with a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.6%) aggregated win rate. However, win rates vary significantly between the 48 variations—explore individual lines to find the best fit for your style.